OL Olin Kreutz: Kreutz signed a one year deal with the Saints providing both New Orleans and the pro bowler with what looks to be a good fit.  With the departure of center Jonathan Goodwin to San Francisco, New Orleans was looking to start second year center Matt Tennant before the signing of Kreutz.  Entering his 14^th season in the NFL, Kreutz provides Drew Brees and the Saints running game with a solid nucleus in the offensive line.  Kreutz spoke on his new team, “Drew Brees is a top quarterback and the two guards are probably the best combination in the NFL, if not the two best guards in the NFL. So if you're a center, it's a great job." 

WR Derrick Mason:  Mason announced on Saturday that he will sign with the Jets.  The move provides the Jets with another solid threat in the receiving game.  Mason joins Santonio Holmes and Plaxico Burress as some strong targets for the rising Mark Sanchez.  With Braylon Edwards and Jerricho Cotchery out, Mason is likely to play the role of the third receiver, but much depends on what Plaxico Burress looks like back on the field.  In the fantasy mix, Mason deserves consideration, but should not be considered a top talent.  Holmes, Burress and Dustin Keller should prove to be too much for Mason to have consistent results.  Still, consider that Mason is just 1 year removed from a 1,000 yard season and he has had 7 touchdowns in each of the previous two seasons.  

DB Cortland Finnegan:  Finnegan walked out of camp Friday night as he and his agent work to get a contract extension with the Titans.  The team and general manager Mike Reinfeldt were surprised by the action as they were in the process of working with Finnegan’s agent.  We will keep you updated with this situation moving forward as the move could cause some turmoil between Finnegan and the team.  Going into his 6^th season in the NFL, Finnegan was 5^th on the team in tackles last season with 100.  He has 13 interceptions in 5 seasons, but Finnegan has scored a touchdown in three straight seasons. 

RB Michael Bush:  Bush reported to Raiders camp on Saturday after re-signing with the team.  According to ESPN’s John Clayton, the contract is worth $2.6 million.  The signing brings Bush back to the Raiders following his best season in the NFL.  He rushed for 655 yards and 8 touchdowns in 14 games last year.  While Darren McFadden remains the top talent in the Raiders backfield, Bush is still worth a look in later rounds and especially in leagues heavy on touchdowns.   

LB LaMarr Woodley:  Woodley signed a 6 year deal worth $61.5 million to play with the Pittsburgh Steelers through the 2016 season.  He is entering his 5^th year in the league averaging 35 tackles and 10 sacks per season.  Locking Woodley down provides the Steelers with a solid setup for the upcoming seasons.  Pittsburgh should remain one of the top fantasy team defenses this season.

LB Prince Amukamara:  The Giants first round draft pick fractured a bone in his foot during practice and will need surgery as a result.  It is unknown how long the injury will keep him out at this point, but the timing (only his second practice) will surely put any rookie behind where they need to be in their first NFL season. 

WR DeSean Jackson: Sources anticipate seeing Jackson at camp on Monday. He has not showed up to practice yet as he is looking to get an extension on his current contract that is up after this season.  The Eagles can play hard ball with this one, but that might not be in their best interest as the young star has posted 3,135 yards and 17 touchdowns in just three seasons.  With a potential full season with Michael Vick ahead, Jackson should finish as a top 10 fantasy receiver this season in what could easily be a career statistical year.  His stock slips a little in PPR leagues as Jackson averages fewer than 4 receptions per game.

WR Jerricho Cotchery:  Cotchery is set to visit the Steelers on Sunday, which could lead to a signing shortly after he was released by the Jets.  The Ravens are also reportedly interested in Cotchery’s service, but they may not have a chance depending on how things go in Pittsburgh on Sunday.  The Steelers are relying on another big season from Mike Wallace and continued consistency from Hines Ward, but Cotchery has proven to be a reliable target in his seven NFL seasons with the Jets.  His stock won’t change much from the Jets last season to (possibly) the Steelers or Ravens this season.  He recorded 41 receptions, 433 yards and 2 touchdowns last year.

QB Jake Locker:  In his first scrimmage with the Titans, Locker was 13-22 with 2 touchdowns and an interception.  While Matt Hasselbeck has the starting job to lose in Tennessee, the rookie is sure to see the field at some point this year.  He is a solid dynasty option as Hasselbeck has had some health issues keep him from games in the past and surely that will continue.  In the past three seasons combined Hasselbeck has missed 11 games.      

TE Ben Patrick:  Roughly a week after being signed by the Giants, Patrick decided to call it a short career on Saturday by announcing that he will retire.  The fantasy relevance doesn’t come from Patrick here, but in how the Giants plan to utilize the tight end position this season and who will be in that position.  New York has produced some strong fantasy tight ends in the past with Jeremy Shockey and Kevin Boss most recently, so the absence of a true option right now doesn’t mean the Giants won’t have a productive tight end this season.  Still, the main excitement in this passing game remains with Hakeem Nicks and Mario Manningham.   

WR Torrey Smith:  With Derrick Mason choosing to go to the Jets instead of remaining with the Ravens, the door is open for Smith to make a move.  With just Anquan Boldin solidified as a starting receiver for Baltimore, Smith has a chance to be a starter in his rookie season.  Joe Flacco has improved his game each year in his three seasons in the NFL, which could lead to a solid rookie campaign for Smith.  Still, Baltimore appears on the lookout for another veteran to compliment Boldin. 

WR Steve Smith (CAR):  Smith appears excited by rookie Cam Newton and the whole look of the direction of the offense this season, even stating that it is ‘refreshing’.  Surely he must figure there is nowhere to go but up from last season when he recorded some of his career lowest numbers.  Smith finished the season with just 46 receptions, 554 yards and 2 touchdowns.  Though they still lack the big skill receiver opposite Smith, the Panthers are grooming some young receivers in David Gettis and Brandon LaFell to become threats in this offense.  Greg Olsen should prove to be a big addition to this offense as well.  Smith’s tough schedule, low stats last season, and QB uncertainty could make him a nice bargain in this year’s fantasy drafts.       

QB Kevin Kolb:  Not much can be taken from an early scrimmage, so there shouldn’t be much given to Kolb’s 3 interceptions in the Cardinals annual Red and White scrimmage on Saturday.  With neither Matt Leinart nor Derek Anderson panning out as Kurt Warner’s replacement in Arizona, Cardinals fans are hoping that Kolb can boost this team back to their 2009 form.  

OL Adam Goldberg:  The Rams agreed to a contract with Goldberg Friday and he was at practice with the team Saturday.  The signing gives St. Louis their versatile tackle/guard back.  Goldberg started all 16 games last year, helping Steven Jackson to his 6^th straight 1,000-yard season.  The services of the veteran Goldberg also led to a solid rookie campaign for Sam Bradford.   

WR Jordy Nelson:  Those looking to the Packers for fantasy help this year have plenty to look at.  Green Bay gives you Aaron Rodgers, Greg Jennings, Jermichael Finley, Ryan Grant, James Starks and the defense to name a few. Still, it was Nelson who stole the show to finish out the Packers big season last year.  While Nelson didn’t wow throughout the regular season, he grabbed 21 catches for 286 yards and 2 touchdowns in 2 playoff games and the Super Bowl. 

Today's notes are provided by Fantistics Jeremy McGoldrick.

8/06/2011

Rookie WR A.J. Green Impressing Early In Camp

Bengals receivers coach James Urban was around some very good receivers during his seven seasons as an assistant with the Eagles. When it comes to assessing A.J. Green’s first week of practice, even Urban had to admit that he has not seen a first week display like the one Green has put on. “DeSean (Jackson), with his skill set he started wowing you once he got into games. Not that he didn’t catch your eye and everything, but A.J.’s size and length and speed and the whole package physically can wow you,” Urban said. During Friday night’s practice at Georgetown College, Green, the fourth overall pick in this year’s draft has made the hard catches look routine. He put on another highlight performance as he made two more difficult catches look easy. On the last play of an 11-on-11 drill, Andy Dalton’s deep pass down the left sideline was at least three yards overthrown, but Green stretched out and made a diving grab near the 10. Later in the practice, he hauled in a Bruce Gradkowski 40-yard throw in the end zone as he was being covered by Morgan Trent and Rico Murray.

Source: Cincinnati Enquirer

Many experts felt that AJ Green was the best WR coming out of College in this year's draft. As mentioned in the clipping above, he has DeSean Jackson's game changing ability. The only issue is going to be who's tossing him the rock. If it's Daulton, there will be a limitation on Green's upside this season.

Even With Absence of Wildcat, WR Josh Cribbs Still Important in Offense

The Wildcat might become extinct in Cleveland, but Josh Cribbs’ role in the Browns’ offense is not endangered. On Friday, Cribbs returned to practice for the first time since he suffered a left knee injury Sunday, and he answered a question he has encountered throughout his career. How will he be used on offense? More specifically, how will he be used in coach Pat Shurmur’s West Coast offense? “[Shurmur] is not a big fan of the Wildcat, but he is a big fan of giving me the football,” Cribbs said. ... “He’s gonna do everything he can to put the balls in the hands of the guys that [are] gonna make plays.”

Source: Akron Beacon Journal

Unless you league counts kickoff/punt returns Cribbs will likely not be draft-able in your league. He really wasn't a game changer as a receiver, averaging 12.7 YPR with a marginal 59% completion ratio.

Cowboys Kicking Competition Continues Between David Buehler, Dan Bailey

The Cowboys are closely watching the kicking competition between incumbent David Buehler and undrafted rookie Dan Bailey. Cowboys coach Jason Garrett assessed the state of the competition Friday. “Obviously, David’s been our kicker, and he’s kicked off very well,” Garrett said. “I think he’s kicking field goals better and better. I think the young guy has come out and really been what we thought he was going to be. He’s come out and just has been very consistent in his technique. He’s handled some bad snaps and kicked them through the uprights.” Garrett has tried to put them in game-like scenarios, including sending them out quickly to try to beat the clock. “We’ve done some end-of-game situations where they’ve had to go out and make some fast, or make some field goals where something was on the line,” Garrett said. “I think each of those guys has responded well with those.”

Source: Fort Worth Star-Telegram

Even if Buehler wins this preseason battle, you're best served not drafting him as he'll be skating on thin ice right out of the box. If he doesn't start off with a strong first half, he may not be around for a redemption this season

RB Jahvid Best Looks Toward Healthy 2011 Season

Running back Jahvid Best tortured Lions fans as a rookie. After scoring five touchdowns in the first two games of 2010, Best was silenced for the most part, for the remainder of the season. Of course, he didn't intend to tease everyone, but suffering from turf toe on both of his feet limited his quickness and cutting ability. For a runner like Best, the injury was like tying a boxer's hands behind his back. Now that he's completely healthy – the turf toe wouldn't go away until he stayed off his feet for several weeks – he's back to showing the quickness and burst he displayed against the Bears and Eagles last year. Best's goals for 2011 aren't complicated: "Just to go out and stay healthy, and go out there and play fast," he said.

Source: MLive.com

Best' production is going to come as a surprise for many folks this season, he's an explosive back...but unfortunately tuff toe injuries are frequently recurrent.

RB James Starks Earns Praise in Packers’ Camp

After talking about his new diet earlier in the day, James Starks went on to have one of his best practices. The second-year back had a pair of runs in 11-on-11 action Friday that opened eyes. On one run to the right side, he patiently let defenders wash down and then cut upfield for 15-20 yards. And on an inside run, he showed a second gear. Starks took one quick cut and was in the second level for what could have been a long touchdown. Coach Mike McCarthy definitely took note. "He's as explosive as he was in the playoffs," McCarthy said. "You saw James Starks at 100 percent in the playoffs. He is a little bigger...I think he looks more powerful than he did last year. He puts his foot down and gets to that second level. He's had a very good camp. He came in great shape." Practices only do so much for running backs. The true first test for Starks, Ryan Grant and all the backs will be Aug. 13 in Cleveland.

Source: Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel

This is a loaded backfield, with a healthy Grant, Starks, and highly regarded rookie Alex Green. It will be wise not to draft any Packer RB until the top 25-30 are off the board.

RB Arian Foster Leaves Practice with Hamstring Injury

Arian Foster’s defense of his improbable 2010 NFL rushing title began four days late Friday morning after labor-issue technicalities kept him sidelined, impatiently champing at the bit. And perhaps he paid a price for the pent-up adrenal rush he felt after finally joining the huddle. On his first 11-on-11 carry of this new season, barely more than a half-hour into the practice session, he blew through a hole and, legs churning, sprinted 35 yards into the end zone. Foster, one of only two undrafted players to lead the lead in rushing when he gained 1,616 yards, was feeling his oats and following orders, not strutting his stuff. “They’re supposed to finish everything,” running backs coach Chic Harris said of his ball carriers. “We expect them to finish hard on every play.” Unfortunately, Foster finished clutching his left hamstring, the grimace on his face speaking volumes. It would be his last carry of the day.

Source: Houston Chronicle

Unless it's a significant tear to the hammy, Foster should be fine for opening day. There will be loads of injuries over the next few months....more than we've ever seen because of the lack of structure this past off season. This all plays into my theory on how the new CBA, one day a week equipment practices during the season, is actually going to shorten NFL careers because of the decrease in preparedness causing an increase in injuries on Game Day.

WR Austin Collie Tries to Push Concussions Out of His Mind

Austin Collie paused when a recent discussion at training camp turned to the concussions that first impeded, then ended, his second season with the Indianapolis Colts. "Are you going to be able to put the concussions behind you?" he was asked. "I think that's how it's got to be," said Collie, who finished 2010 on the injured reserve list after suffering a second concussion -- and third concussion incident -- Dec. 19 against Jacksonville in Lucas Oil Stadium. "The more I dwell on it, the more I think about it and the more you guys (in the media) bring it up, the more it'll stay there in my mind. That's the last thing I want when I'm going over the middle again."

Source: Indianapolis Star

Collie was so productive last season (8 TDs in 9 games), that its unimaginable what type of season he would have had, if not for the concussions. If the Colts find a way to bubble wrap his head this year, Collie's ADP of 5.07 will be tremendously unvalued.

QB David Garrard Day-to-Day After Clean MRI

Quarterback David Garrard did not participate in the walkthrough or the evening practice Friday. Tight end Marcedes Lewis said he saw Garrard limping in the training room Friday morning. Garrard had an MRI exam that did not reveal any major issues. He is listed as day-to-day. Garrard left Thursday night's practice with tightness in his back that Jaguars coach Jack Del Rio said was mild. Garrard left out of a back entrance. He appeared to injure his back during an 11-on-11 drill in which Garrard was knocked down and fell onto a pile. Quarterbacks wear red jerseys in practice signifying that they aren't supposed to take contact.

Source: Florida Times Union

Garrard's SOD declines a bit this season. The overall grade of his opponents the last 3 years has been a B or above, this season he's looking at a C-.

Chad Henne Officially Named Dolphins Starting QB

Amid all of Thursday's frenzy of Brett Favre rumors and the team's first full-team practice, I think perhaps the biggest news of the day got lost in the confusion of that swirling vortex. Chad Henne apparently has been named Miami's starting quarterback. "Yes, he's the starter right now," coach Tony Sparano said.

Source: Miami Herald

In other words Henne was told that there was no one else in the building, hence the job is his. We've always like Henne, and he's not as bad as he's been portrayed. Last season, his Pass Completion percentage was league average 61.4 as were his passing yards per game (220). His worst attribute was that he failed in pressure situations, making poorly advised passes. He has the physical attributes to be successful in the league, it's just a matter of his mental maturity for the game catching up before he loses his chance.

TE Rob Gronkowski Unstoppable So Far in Patriots Camp

Thus far in camp, Rob Gronkowski has been a man among boys. No one has come close to being able to guard him, or contain him. He’s been an absolute beast. The second year tight end has looked virtually unstoppable, making catches all over the field. Yesterday, linebacker Gary Guyton, who’s proven to be pretty slick marking tight ends,  looked completely over-matched. Today, it was Rob Ninkovich’s turn.  The linebacker had no chance either alone, or with help. The 6-6, 265 pound tight end just ate up whatever coverage was thrown his way, and caught every ball thrown from either Tom Brady, Brian Hoyer, or Ryan Mallett.

Source: Boston Herald

Gronkowski was very productive last season averaging 2.7 Points per reception with a respectable 71% completion ratio. Now of course Aaron Hernandez is the TE with the bigger and better physical attributes...but he dropped more than 10% of the passes directed at him last season (7). Tough decision looming for fantasy folks, but right now I take Gronkowski over Hernandez as the Patriots leading TE.

RB Chris Ivory Has Sports Hernia Surgery, Out for Three Weeks

New Orleans Saints running back Chris Ivory has undergone sports hernia surgery, Coach Sean Payton announced after practice Friday. Ivory, a rookie free agent last season who became a key contributor during the 2010 season, had missed all of camp while still recovering from foot surgery. Payton said Ivory had the surgery in Philadelphia and that it should be about a three-week recovery period. The Saints' first regular season game is Sept. 8 at Green Bay.

Source: The Times-Picayune

To open the season, the battle in NO will be between Pierre Thomas and prized Rookie Mark Ingram. Thomas has shown the ability to be a very productive back when healthy....but he's also shown not be be healthy often enough. Right now Ingram is being drafted in the 6th round with Thomas in the 8th. Expect that spread to close if Thomas stays healthy this preseason.

Raiders Sign TE Kevin Boss to Four-Year Deal

The Raiders took some of the sting off of losing leading receiver Zach Miller on Tuesday when they agreed to terms with free agent tight end Kevin Boss on Friday morning. As we write this, Boss is signing a four-year, $16 million contract. Boss, 27, had 35 catches for 531 yards and five touchdowns for the New York Giants last season. The Giants were interested in bringing Boss back but couldn't match the Raiders' offer.

Source: San Francisco Chronicle

I believe that the Raiders over paid for Boss' services. If they think they signed a Miller clone, they are mistaken. Boss has a penchant for dropping passes in the Red Zone. While Miller has a completion ratio consistency above 65%, Boss only had a 50% ratio. To Boss' credit, when he does catch the ball he's more difficult to bring down. Regardless he's not in our top 25.

8/05/2011

WR Malcolm Floyd to stay in San Diego

Philip Rivers should have a full arsenal in 2011. After getting WR Vincent Jackson under contract, the Chargers have also come to terms with WR Malcom Floyd for two more years. Floyd (6-5, 225 pounds), 29, is another big downfield target and snared 37 balls for 717 yards and six TDs in 2010 -- mostly without Jackson -- in just 11 games. Floyd has played in San Diego since 2004.

Source: USA Today

The Chargers were set to enter into the season with Patrick Crayton as their number 2 receiver. This move allows them to groom top prospect Vincent Brown a little longer. Floyd was extremely productive in his 2010 injury shortened campaign averaging 2.9 points per reception.

RB Ahmad Bradshaw Running with Ones, Welcomes Share of Carries with Brandon Jacobs

Ahmad Bradshaw lined up with the first-team offense at today’s practice. Brandon Jacobs substituted in, the two stretching next to each other before practice and often together while observing drills. A seventh-round pick in 2007 mired by discipline issues before the draft, Bradshaw insisted that his newfound wealth would not mollify the drive he’s possessed through the first four years of his career. But that doesn’t mean he won’t welcome sharing carries with Jacobs, in hopes that they can both be productive and healthy with their new contracts this season. “He’s a big brother to me,” Bradshaw said. “I’ll share whatever I have with him. Like I said, keeps us healthy and makes the team better.”

Source: Newark Star-Ledger

Ahmad Bradshaw was 7th best among starting RBs on getting first downs in 3rd down situations (67% success rate). Bradshaw will have to hold onto the football, or risk losing touches. His current ADP is 3 round 10th selection, which makes him undervalued.

QB Kevin Kolb Relatively Sharp in Cardinals’ Practice Debut

Quarterback Kevin Kolb's debut was the focus of this practice, and he didn't disappoint. Kolb looked as sharp as someone with no practice time could. Not every pass he threw was on target, but he threaded some nice ones to receivers. Kolb threw a well-timed screen pass to Beanie Wells. That might be a result of his time with the Eagles, who run that play well.

Source: Arizona Republic

Kolb is a timing QB, that will be very dependent on his accuracy...very much like Jeff Garcia was in his prime. Before you scoff, consider that Jeff Garcia was a 4 time ProBowl QB, so the Cards will be fortunate if he does reach that standard. We are projecting 3,800 yards and a modest 23 TDs from Kolb this season.

WR Harry Douglas Claims He’s Now Fully Recovered from 2009 Surgery

When Falcons management and coaches talk about getting more “explosive” plays on offense this season, it may be easy to forget about Harry Douglas. The Falcons traded up in the NFL draft to pick Alabama wide receiver Julio Jones. All-Pro Roddy White and Jones present deep threats for an opposing secondary. However, Douglas is feeling like his old self, and he will be counted on, too. The wide receiver played in all 16 games last season — with 22 catches for 294 yards and a touchdown — after missing 2009 with a torn ACL in his left knee. It wasn’t until the end of last season that Douglas says he was fully recovered. “I feel like I’m 100 percent now,” Douglas said Thursday. “I can play differently. I can come out here and play like I used to play before I got hurt — fast, quick, not thinking, doing what I do best playing with quickness and speed.

Source: Atlanta Journal-Constitution

As always we need to temper our expectations on pre-season news reports. It's good to hear self assessments, but we typically don't react until we both 1. hear players being praised repeatedly by either teammates and/or the coaching staff, and 2. confirm what we hear with what we see during the preseason games. Although Douglas played in every game last season, he only caught 42% of the passes intended for him.

Panthers Add WR Legedu Naanee

The Panthers have agreed to terms with another player with ties to offensive coordinator Rob Chudzinski, a league source said today. Wide receiver Legedu Naanee, who played for Chudzinski in San Diego, will give the Panthers' receiving corps another veteran to complement Steve Smith. Naanee is expected to arrive at Wofford on Friday.

Source: Charlotte Observer

Naanee is a big play receiver, who averaged 16.1 Yards pre Reception last season. However if Rivers could only connect with him at a 50% clip last season...which begs the question, how often will Clausen or Newton connect with him? Obviously not a fantasy consideration on draft day.

QB Jay Cutler Excited to Work with New WR Roy Williams

Bears quarterback Jay Cutler discreetly lobbied for wide receiver help after arriving in a trade, and two years and one week of training camp later, he might have what he has been hoping for. Cutler practiced with Roy Williams for the first time Thursday night at Olivet Nazarene University as free agents were not permitted to take the field with their new teams until the new collective bargaining agreement was ratified. The Bears wasted no time working in Williams with the first-team offense, and Cutler's sixth pass in 7-on-7 drills went to him. With Williams having worked in Mike Martz's system before, the former Lions first-round draft pick could be at full speed in a few weeks. "He is going to be dynamic for us," Cutler said. "He is very steady, very consistent in his routes. You know where he's going to be. He knows the offense. I am excited."

Source: Chicago Tribune

Temper your expectations as Roy Williams will have his moments during  the season, but consistency will have his owners frustrated.

RB Marion Barber Gets Physical in First Bears Practice

While Roy Williams drew applause with every catch in his Bears practice debut Thursday night, another ex-Cowboy stole the show. During inside running drills, Marion Barber barreled through a pile of defenders that included fellow newcomer Vernon Gholston, then kept running and slapped away rookie safety Winston Venable. Barber nodded his head as if to tell the defense to bring some more. Coach Lovie Smith chuckled as Barber displayed his power. Smith said Barber's attacking style set the tone for the night. Defensive end Julius Peppers agreed. "I was impressed with him before what I saw tonight," Peppers said of Barber. "I'm happy to have him instead of trying to bring him down."

Source: Chicago Tribune

Barber really crumbled last season with his 3.3 YPC, but much of this can be attributed to the injuries that decimated the Cowboys offensive line last season. However, the Bears also have a poor offensive line, allowing 25% of their runs to be stuffed. Barber does take away some of Forte value, as he'll be used in some 3rd down situations.

QB Andy Dalton to See Majority of Snaps Going Forward

With the new collective bargaining agreement expected to be ratified in time for Thursday's 7 p.m. practice, offensive coordinator Jay Gruden doubles his quarterback staff with the debuts of Bruce Gradkowski and Jordan Palmer. But rookie Andy Dalton, who has taken about 70 percent of the snaps since practice started Saturday, is still going to get the most. If it's a 16-play period, Gruden said it would be something like Dalton six, Gradkowski four and Palmer and Dan LeFevour three each. A 10-play period could go Dalton five, Gradkowski three, and Palmer and LeFevour two each. Whatever, Gradkowski is getting the second most snaps, which pretty much says where the derby is now.

Source: Bengals.com

 It looks like it's going to be Dalton's job to lose. Daulton is converting from a colligate spread offense, and the expectation was that his learning curve would be longer than typical. Dauton's positive attributes include a quick release, accuracy, and a strong arm. Weakness include a 3/4 delivery (an issue for a 6'2" QB), and occasional floaters. We'll be monitoring him this preseason, as his progress will dictate the fantasy value of those around him.

QB Kyle Orton’s Attitude, Play Giving Him Edge over Tim Tebow

Kyle Orton has not officially been anointed as starting quarterback of the Broncos, but in his words and his play, Orton is making a strong case to remain atop the quarterback depth chart at Dove Valley. "I haven't been told anything," Orton said this morning after a walk-through practice. "That's how I go about it, just letting my play speak for itself on the field. I feel like I'm playing good football right now." Orton's comments echoed statements made by coach John Fox Wednesday evening, shooting down several national media reports that Orton had been officially given the starting job over Tim Tebow and Brady Quinn. "My story has been the same, regardless of what you hear. I'm in those meetings every day. I know what's said to everybody and nothing has changed. We've been singing the same song since seven months ago, so that remains the same," Fox said. "All I'm concerned with is what happens in that building. We can't help what happens outside the building. I think everything is going as well as it could possibly go right now in all those rooms in there."

Source: Denver Post

Although I didn't think it was going to happen, it looks like the Broncos are going to go back to Orton (who really does give the Broncos a better chance to win.) New Head coach John Fox has shown his QB's loyalty (remember how long he painfully stuck with former Panthers Jake Delhomme), which would give potential Orton owners some security if he wins the job.

QB David Garrard Injures Back in Thursday Practice

Jaguars quarterback David Garrard injured his back, then left the practice fields through a back exit during Thursday night's training camp practice. Despite wearing a red no-contact jersey, as all the Jaguars quarterbacks do, Garrard was knocked down at least once during an 11-on-11 drill late in practice. Garrard received attention from Jaguars trainer Mike Ryan on the sideline before leaving the field. "David's back got a little tight, so we're just icing him down," Del Rio said. "He'll get treatment and all that. But he should be fine, so nothing major there. He came to me after the first team period, then to Mike Ryan, and said it was getting tight. It's not the time to push through that kind of thing, so just let it settle down." Del Rio indicated he did not think Garrard would need X-rays, but said that decision was up to Ryan, the team's head trainer. Del Rio also said he would be surprised if Garrard didn't play in Saturday night's scrimmage.

Source: Florida Times Union

Garrard doesn't post big numbers, but he's shown a penchant to be an effective #2 fantasy QB. He typically excels in the 2nd half. Last season he posted 5 quality starts in his final 7 games.

Jack Del Rio Urges Kicker Josh Scobee to Be ‘Automatic’

Kicker Josh Scobee tailed off the second half of last year after a fast start and wound up making only 13 of 23 field-goal attempts.  This year, Del Rio has much higher expectations. "He needs to be 90 percent or above this year, and that's what I laid out for him. He knows it. I think we should expect that," he said. He said he might cut down on Scobee's 59-yard attempts, except in game-winning situations. "We need him to be automatic throughout the course of the year," he said.

Source: Florida Times Union

Scobee has a strong leg as his above average Points Per Attempt attests (3.0), but as this clipping suggests...his accuracy needs some work.

Rust Shows in QB Donovan McNabb’s First Practice

From 50-yard completions to ducks crashing into the grass, Donovan McNabb made just about every throw in his first full practice with the Vikings. The Vikings will take a few errant passes in favor of McNabb's on-field presence. McNabb was one of nearly 20 players who missed the first three days of practice because of the pending collective bargaining agreement, which the players formally ratified Thursday. After sitting out 45 minutes of practice time while CBA paperwork was processed, McNabb hit the field in time for offensive work against seven- and 11-man defenses. The results were mixed. Several of McNabb's early throws were off target - it's the first practice, he later reminded - but he discovered his touch during the first blitz drill, connecting with wide receiver Bernard Berrian for a 50-yard gain down the left sideline.

Source: St. Paul Pioneer Press

Not really much to gain from this clip, except the last line. When was the last time we heard the name Bernard Berrian catching a 50 yarder? Would like to hear more about Berrian, who has been a lost name in recent seasons.

WR Chad Ochocinco Has Rough Day in Patriots Camp

WR Chad Ochocinco followed up his best practice of camp with his worst. Ochocinco had at least four drops in practice, with two coming without defenders on the field. The worst drop was clear touchdown where Ochocinco had gotten behind S Brandon McGowan and then let a 50-yard bomb from Tom Brady bounce off his hands. Ochocinco didn’t like getting handled by Devin McCourty in a getting-off-the-line drill. Ochocinco stayed after practice to catch passes from Brady.

Source: Boston Globe

Can Brady do for Ochocinco, what he did for Randy Moss a few years back? Odds are that there will be improvement, but don't expect anything near the Moss year of 2009.

WR Jerricho Cotchery Released, Derrick Mason Could Fill Void with Jets

Jerricho Cotchery's seven-year career with the Jets ended in bizarre fashion Thursday. The morning after reports surfaced that free agent wide receiver Derrick Mason was visiting the Jets facility, Cotchery revealed that he likely wouldn't return. "It's time to move on," Cotchery told The Daily News after the morning walk-through. "If (Mason) passes the physical, he's on the team and I won't be." On the surface, it appeared as if the Jets preferred the cheaper Mason. Eventually, Rex Ryan confirmed that the team had released Cotchery, but did so only after the veteran requested it. Ryan didn't give particulars about when and why Cotchery made the request to be traded or released. By all appearances, Cotchery's lack of an opportunity to start played a significant role in the parting of the ways. Although the Jets have extended an offer to Mason, there's no guarantee that he'll be a Jet at this point.

Source: Newark Star-Ledger

Mason could provide the Jets with a significant insurance policy if recently signed Plaxico Burress doesn't pan out.  Mason was only targeted with 100 passes last season, yet still managed 4 quality starts in his final 8 games. At 37, Mason still has something left in the tank.

RB Darren McFadden to Miss Two Weeks with Fractured Orbital

The Raiders welcomed 15 players to training camp Thursday who signed contracts since the lockout ended and said a temporary goodbye to running back Darren McFadden. Their most explosive offensive player, McFadden was not present and is out at least two weeks with a fractured orbital bone, or eye socket, an injury suffered during practice Wednesday. Coach Hue Jackson described it as "a small, little fracture of his orbit. So he'll be out a couple of weeks." After practice Wednesday, McFadden's face was unmarked, and he didn't seem to be in any pain as he stopped and talked with reporters.

Source: Oakland Tribune

McFadden established himself as an every down back last season, after the Raiders finally figured out how to utilize him in open space. He averaged 17.4 fantasy points per game and a very impressive .84 Points Per Attempt. Yet there is concern for an encore as McFadden ranked 19th in rushing yards among fellow RBs in the 2nd half.

Rookie WR Denarius Moore Standing Out in Raiders Camp

Denarius Moore, folks. Learn the name, commit it to memory and keep an eye on the rookie whenever he’s on the field. On Thursday, for the second straight day, Moore stole the show during practice with his acrobatic catches and big-play ability. At this rate, people are going to forget about Darrius Heyward-Bey missing so much practice time. “I’m not going to keep using the word you guys write I keep using all the time,” Hue Jackson said. “I’m gonna have  to come up with another one. I don’t want to say the W word (Wow!). So, what I’m going to say is, oh, boy! The young man can make some plays, can’t he? “Oh, my gosh, is he something? He’s fun to watch. Every day there’s something. A ball goes up, he comes down with it and makes a play. He has tremendous talent. The game is not too big for him. He has that factor of making plays. There’s no fear in the young man. I’m glad he’s on our team.”

Source: Oakland Tribune

The Raiders receiving corps is filled with high potential, but minimal results. Chaz Schilens is another receiver that has looked All_Pro in previous preseasons....and he's supposedly healthy.

WR DeSean Jackson Must Report by Tuesday to Preserve Unrestricted Free Agency in 2012

We may now know when DeSean Jackson will report to Eagles training camp. After the CBA was ratified today the date in which players under contract must report or lose an accured year toward free agency is Aug. 9, according to profootballtalk.com. The NFL pushed for that date while the NFLPA wanted it to be 23 days after the start of the new league year which was Thursday. Jackson must report by Tuesday if he wants to be an unrestricted free agent next off-season. The Eagles wide receiver has three years of service and needs another to become a UFA. He has now missed seven practices because of a holdout in search of a new contract.

Source: Philadelphia Inquirer

Jackson's going to have to show up, or he won't get his 4th season of eligibility. The 4th year of his rookie contract will pay him $565,000, but at $30K in fines per day, he might be playing for free in 2011. Obviously he's worth more, and Philly should work something out to keep him long term.

TE Antonio Gates Takes Part in First Practice

The most notable name on the practice field for the first time this camp was already under contract. Tight end Antonio Gates participated in team drills in a test of the plantar fasciitis he's been resting over the last week. The team took him off the physically unable to perform list in order to do so. "I got some work done," said Gates, who had been working on the side while his teammates practiced. "It's still a process, and this was phase one. It was nice to get out there and get acclimated and go up against a defense again." Early returns suggest the experiment was a relative success. Gates said he felt comfortable running routes and being part of the offense. He'll continue to test himself throughout camp, trying to find a happy medium between rest and preparation.

Source: North County Times

Gates was running last year with a noticeable hitch and couldn't get separation...yet still ended the season with the 3rd most fantasy points among TEs...in only 11 games.

Lingering Hamstring Injury Keeps WR Kenny Britt Out of Practice Again

Kenny Britt said he worked out during offseason and leading up to training camp he felt his hamstring injuries of the past would no longer be a problem. “I thought it was behind me when I was doing all that yoga this summer,” the receiver said Thursday night. “But I guess the yoga lady took my money and ran.” Britt has yet to practice, making Thursday his seventh straight day as a spectator. The right hamstring is the one that continues to give him so many problems. Coach Mike Munchak said he expects Britt to practice next week. Said Britt: “I am doing whatever the trainers tell me to do and hopefully I will be back (soon). To tell you the truth, I ask every day to get out there ... I am just taking a precaution.”

Source: Nashville Tennessean 

Britt has a late fifth round ADP, lots of upside there.

49ers Ink WR Braylon Edwards to One-Year Deal

In 2005, the 49ers chose quarterback Alex Smith over receiver Braylon Edwards for the No. 1 pick in the draft. Now, the 49ers have both players. The 49ers and Edwards agreed to terms on a one-year, $3.5 million contract, ESPN reported Thursday. Edwards traveled to Santa Clara to meet with coaches and team officials Wednesday.

Source: CSN Bay Area

The contract is basically only $1 million, with the max $3.5m if he accumulates 90 catches over the course of the season....not likely. There's good reason to believe that his off field transgressions cost Edwards between $10-$15 million!

RB Ryan Torain Has Broken Hand, Will Miss 7-10 Days

Washington Redskins running back Ryan Torain is expected to miss seven to 10 days of training camp after four screws were inserted in the top of his fractured left hand, coach Mike Shanahan said Thursday evening. Torain injured the hand while being tackled during an 11-on-11 scrimmage during Wednesday morning’s practice.

Source: Washington Post

Enter Tim Hightower....

Safety Donte Whitner to Sign with 49ers

The 49ers agreed to terms Thursday with a starting safety, and his name is not Dashon Goldson. Donte Whitner, the former Buffalo Bills strong safety, announced on Twitter that he is signing with the 49ers. "Its official...49ers it is!" Whitner wrote. "Funny how God works...instead of playing against the 9ers I'm playing w/ the 49ers."

Source: CSN Bay Area

Whitner is one of the best  fantasy DBs in the league. Last season he had 95 tackles (wow). Also a significant boost for the 49ers defense.

DE Raheem Brock Will Return to Seattle

Defensive end Raheem Brock will re-sign with the Seattle Seahawks. The news was first reported by Jason LaCanfora, who works for the league's official Web site. Brock subsequently confirmed his return via Twitter. Brock joined Seattle eight days before the regular season began in 2010. He finished with nine sacks, a career-high.

Source: Seattle Times

Brock only registers 25-27 tackles a season, which minimizes his IDP valuation, but because of his pressure on opposing QBs, he's a key part of the Seahawks defense.

 DE Osi Umenyiora Claims to Have Knee Injury, Threatening Surgery

After missing the first four practices without a stated reason, Osi Umenyiora finally has one. The Giants informed reporters tonight Umenyiora has been sitting out because “he says he has a sore knee,” according to the team’s public relations staff. The key part there, of course, is the “he says” in that statement. Though the team says it has no reason to believe he isn’t in pain, it is clearly separating itself from the diagnosis. A person familiar with Umenyiora’s status said he is dealing with a meniscus cartilage issue that, as The Wall Street Journal reported today, could require surgery. The person requested anonymity because the extent of the injury has not been made public.

Source: Newark Star-Ledger

Umenyiora is under contract to make $3.1M in 2011, and 2012 in 4.0M in 2012. Yes he's probably worth more, but he's not ridiculously underpaid....like a Chris Johnson in Tennessee.

Safety Ed Reed Working to Preserve Himself in Camp This Season

Ed Reed sat out Thursday’s practice and said his absence had more to do with preserving his body than with an injury. “I’m 32. I’ve been doing this for 10 years. Preserving is the key,” the free safety said. “If I’m not smart about taking care of myself during training camp, who else is? It’s also a business. That’s part of me being a great businessman and taking care of myself and understanding that this is my company [tapping his chest], and I run my company.” Reed said he worked with a doctor in Atlanta on conditioning himself in a way to get the maximum power and strength. But he made clear that he was trying to conserve that strength through the preseason.

Source: Baltimore Sun

Despite Reed's high profile status in the NFL, IDPers rarely draft Reed.  Opposing offenses do their best to keep the ball away from Reed, which limits his countable stats.

8/04/2011

RB Beanie Wells Tops the Depth Chart in Arizona, Durability Questions Remain
Coach Ken Whisenhunt has made it clear that Beanie Wells is the unquestioned No. 1 running back for the Arizona Cardinals, a status he's always coveted. "It makes you feel great," Wells said after the team's morning walkthrough on Wednesday. "I'm just coming out and working as it is my job. I think you definitely feel a lot different when something is definitely yours as opposed to when you have a little bit of uncertainty, but right now I'm just working and competing like I am the No. 1 tailback." Still, the former Ohio State star knows that questions linger about his NFL future, as much for his durability as anything else. After Arizona chose him with the 31st pick overall in 2009, he overcame an early injury in training camp to rush for 793 yards as a rookie, averaging 4.6 yards. He seemed poised for a breakthrough sophomore pro season. But early in the final preseason game, Wells went down with a knee injury that turned out to be a lot more serious than the Cardinals would let on in the coming weeks. He wound up undergoing arthroscopic surgery and never felt at full strength. "It was awful last year," Wells said. "I was really frustrated and had a lot going on. It was tough to fully get my mind on the football season last year because of what happened. I don't think mentally I was 100 percent into it because that takes so much out of you."
Source: Associated Press

After Hightower's departure, this appointment was basically a formality. It would have been a huge surprise to see a rookie (Ryan Williams), who's only been in camp a week, given the starting job. Wells' knee injury in the last preseason game of 2010, hampered his entire season.  Prior to that, I did see flashes of brilliance, but I also saw a RB that was hesitant in his rookie season. He's got the potential to be a top 12, but that will all depend on his willingness to let loose. An attribute that was tagged coming out of college.

Kicker Olindo Mare Has Big Shoe to Fill in Carolina
It’s never easy replacing a legend. So, new Carolina Panthers kicker Olindo Mare isn’t even going to try. Or at least he’s not going to think about trying.
When Mare signed a four-year, $12 million contract with the Carolina Panthers it signaled the end of a 16-year run for John Kasay, the lone remaining player from the 1995 expansion team. Many Carolina fans were upset by the move, figuring Kasay would be a Panther for life -- or at least until he decided to leave on his own terms. Mare understands that, as well as the notion some fans might not like him simply because he’s the new guy replacing the legend.
Source: Gaston Gazette

When Cam Newton takes control, the Panthers will have a better offense this season (because it can't possibly be any worse than 2010).  However expect them to still be in the bottom quarter of scoring in the league. Mare shouldn't be a consideration for most fantasy leaguers....unless of course your league starts 2 kickers.


Mike Martz Impressed with Jay QB Jay Cutler’s Improved Footwork
Bears quarterback Jay Cutler isn’t ready to face the Atlanta Falcons, but he probably could make the first cut on Dancing With The Stars. ‘’Technically, his footwork and his drops, I was kind of stunned,’’ offensive coordinator Mike Martz said. ‘’He’s done an awful lot of work on his own this offseason. I was kind of giddy, to be honest with you. Watching him drop right now is textbook, and I didn’t know how we were going to get him there. But he got there by himself.’’ In the first few days of practice, Cutler is working out the kinks of a football-less offseason -- though even with a little rust it seems like he’s right on the money whenever he throws to Earl Bennett. He was 12-for-20 in the team drill at practice Tuesday -- hitting Devin Hester (four times), Johnny Knox (three), Bennett (twice), Kellen Davis, Matt Forte and tight end Kyle Adams.
Source: Chicago Sun-Times

OK, so the guy doesn't have the toughness of lets say a Matthew "that's just my shoulder dangling" Stafford, but Cutler took a lot of punishment last season. He was sacked a league high 52 times. He'll need to shake that tag or win out of the gate. All in all he's a middle of the road fantasy QB with his .59 fantasy points per attempt.

WR Jerome Simpson Running with Starters in Bengals Camp
Jerome Simpson has been lining up opposite first-round pick A.J. Green in camp. While Green has made the highlight catches early, Simpson has been solid. A Green-Simpson pairing could certainly stretch the field and give the Bengals two deep threats, something that has been lacking for at least three seasons. "It's exciting because it's like the defense has to stay honest; they can't just double one person," Simpson said. "They have to stay honest and read us. Anyone can make a big play at any time."
Source: Cincinnati Enquirer

Simpson played like a big time receiver when he was finally given the opportunity in weeks 16 and 17. Against the Chargers, he was 6 for 7 for 124 yards, and against the Ravens he was 12 for 14 for 123. He scored a TD in both contests.


WR James Jones Looks to Eliminate Drops
Standing in the locker room Wednesday afternoon, Green Bay Packers wide receiver James Jones vowed the ball and his hands were going to be working the same shift this season no matter what the circumstances. When asked about what he needs to improve on most this season, he immediately brought up the drops. He did not blame them on lack of concentration, bad eyesight, poor throws or alien landings. "Just drops," Jones said. "I make no excuses for it. If he (quarterback Aaron Rodgers) threw it to me again, I'd catch it. But last year was one of those years I let a couple go. This year I plan on not doing that." Jones went home to northern California and went to work catching passes from any quarterback he could find. He worked out with the San Francisco 49ers quarterbacks, his former receivers coach at San Jose State and his former quarterback there who now plays in the Canadian Football League. Upon his return, Jones started working for the first time under new receivers coach Edgar Bennett. One of the most detailed coaches in the business, Bennett specializes in repetitive drills that strengthen fundamentals and make every action almost routine.
Source: Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel

Jones dropped 6 passes or 7% of the passes thrown his way last year, which is above league average, but not nearly as bad as some of the other 2010 offenders. Surprisingly, Wes Welker, for instance dropped 13 passes or 10% of the passes in his direction. Of more concern is Jones 57% completion %, he'll need to improve on that or Jordy Nelson (70% completion ratio) will overtake him as Rodgers #2 WR option.

QB Peyton Manning Throwing in Colts Camp
There’s been a visible sign of Peyton Manning’s rehabilitation from neck surgery. The Indianapolis Colts veteran quarterback was running and throwing on the Macholtz Stadium field late this afternoon. One person who saw Manning throwing said he was doing so with “decent velocity." Manning opened training camp on the physically unable to perform list as he continued his comeback from May 23 surgery to repair a bulging disk in his neck.
Source: Indianapolis Star

Manning has a 4th round ADP this season. Love him in the mid-late 3rd round.

WR Braylon Edwards in Trouble Again, Implicated in August 1 Bar Fight
Former Jets wideout Braylon Edwards is not in training camp with any NFL teams, but he may be in trouble again. Edwards, a free agent, was involved in a melee at a bar in Birmingham, Mich. on Aug. 1, according to a report by Observer and Eccentric, a newspaper in suburban Detroit. Edwards was reportedly in attendance with two cousins - Tre Lenard Wright, 19 and Edmund Jerrell Wright, 22 - in the early morning hours when a fight broke out that resulted in one bouncer being stabbed in the neck with a fork and a second bouncer being stabbed in the hand with a pocketknife. Sources told the newspaper that Edwards was directly involved.
Source: New York Daily News

Edwards keeps on losing millions with each passing day.

RB Shonn Greene Says He’s Ready For Larger Role, Rex Ryan Agrees
The Jets intended Shonn Greene to be their No. 1 back last year. But when future Hall of Famer LaDainian Tomlinson got off to a fast start, Greene took a backseat until the colder months later in the year. Now, Greene has been given another chance to be "that bell-cow," as coach Rex Ryan has said, and he feels better-equipped for that responsibility this time around. "I think I still had the same focus and everything," Greene said. "I just think now I’m a little bit more experienced, so I think the coaches feel a little bit more comfortable with me. That probably will be a difference." "I think he's ready; I don’t think there's any doubt he's ready," Ryan said. "You know me, I love to fire a fresh back at you. But to start with, I'm thinking the plan is you're going to get a heavy dose of Shonn Greene." Ryan also noted that Greene's pass-catching skills have improved significantly during his time with the Jets.
Source: Newark Star-Ledger

We expected this going into the off season. The Jets plan to give Greene a bulk of the action as Tomlinson really tired out in the 2nd half of 2010. Greene only exceeded 15 carries 3 times last season. We expect him to see about 250 carries this season, and a pretty big improvement in his red zone success rate (only 10% last season).

Raiders WR Jacoby Ford Has Cast Removed From Injured Hand
Receiver Jacoby Ford stayed behind during the Raiders off day Tuesday and had the heavy cast taken off his broken left hand. He is feeling a lot better, and will push to be back in time for the season opener. Coach Hue Jackson initially said Ford would be out a couple of weeks and then later when pressed said he thought Ford would play in the opener Sept. 12 in Denver.
Source: San Francisco Chronicle

Ford had an impressive first season, but will need to improve on his 46% completion ratio in order to take his game to the next level. Ford also dropped 10% of the passes thrown in his direction last season. Lots of upside, but will need to refine skill to be a top 40 WR.


WR Jeremy Maclin Shows at Eagles Camp, Still Out with Illness
Jeremy Maclin was back at Eagles training camp. That was the good news.
The not-so-good news was that he can't practice until he is cleared by doctors for an unspecified illness and that appears to still be a ways off.
"He's not done with his tests so the doctors are still looking at a few things," Eagles coach Andy Reid said. "He's up here, he's in good spirits, he looks good. He's able to do some conditioning things. ... From what he's gone through it looks like he's in good shape." Maclin is visibly thinner than he was early in the summer when he was participating in informal workouts with other Eagles in Malton, N.J. He said then that he regained most of the weight he had lost a few months earlier after experiencing mono-like symptoms.
Source: Philadelphia Inquirer

Maclin finished the 2010 campaign with a 60% completion ratio, but that improved in the second half with (Vick under center) to a very encouraging 76%. We like Maclin, but his early 4th round ADP is a bit too rich for us.

Seahawks Sign Veteran Kicker Jeff Reed
Kicker Jeff Reed was signed Wednesday by the Seahawks, bringing in a veteran to compete with Brandon Coutu for the job that opened when Olindo Mare left for Carolina. Mare accepted a $4 million signing bonus from the Panthers. Reed is entering his 10th season in the NFL. He played for Pittsburgh from 2002 to 2010 before being cut after nine games last season. He played the final five games of the season with the San Francisco 49ers.
Source: Seattle Times

Reed was disappointing when he was playing on a very productive offense with a good defense (2 key kicker success ingredients). He won't have either in Seattle this year.

Rams Add RB Depth with Cadillac Williams
It's not as if the Rams' personnel department is closing shop for the season, but the team has put what appears to be the finishing touch on an impressive and unprecedented week of free agency for the franchise.
Running back Carnell "Cadillac" Williams, the No. 5 overall pick in the 2005 draft by Tampa Bay, has agreed to terms on a free-agent deal with St. Louis. And that means the long-running saga of trying to find a bona fide backup to Pro Bowler Steven Jackson has finally reached its conclusion. This is the third offseason the team has looked to find backup help for Jackson. Barring injury, Williams will be the No. 2 man in the backfield behind Jackson, with Atlanta's Jerious Norwood -- who joined the team Tuesday -- as the No. 3. (Norwood also is expected to return kickoffs.)
Source: St. Louis Post-Dispatch

It will be interesting to see if Williams spells Steven Jackson in passing situations (expectation) or if alternates on some series. Regardless this move means less touches for Jackson....for starters, he'll lose some receiving totals....and for a back that hasn't had much success in the Red Zone, suddenly he's no longer a top 10 fantasy RB.

RB Javon Ringer Making the Best of Chris Johnson’s Holdout
Javon Ringer went back to school this offseason at Michigan State. Now in Titans training camp, he finds himself at the head of the running back class.
That’s because the star pupil, Chris Johnson, has been cutting class.
Ringer is in a position to get noticed, and he’s been quick to raise his hand.
“C.J. is a blessed individual as far as football goes. He’s arguably the best running back in the NFL,” said Ringer, a third-year pro. “But I feel like I am a great running back, too. I know my talents and abilities, and now I get a chance to show that. “The reason why I haven’t been able to show what I can do in the past is because I have been behind somebody like C.J. But I am ready and willing to take advantage of any opportunity I get right now.”
Source: Nashville Tennessean

Ringer was very productive in his tenure at Michigan State. However he’s had durability issues suffering multiple knee injuries in College which have left him without the breakaway speed that you see in CJ. Not a consideration unless the Titans really believe that Matt Hasselbeck is worth 10x one of the best RBs in the league. The man deserves something above league Vet minimum.

RB Ryan Torain to Miss Two Weeks After Injuring Wrist
Ryan Torain, the Redskins’ first-string running back, injured his left wrist Wednesday and could miss as much as two weeks of training camp, according to a team official. Torain will see a hand specialist Wednesday night to learn the extent of the injury. Even if his wrist is broken, the official said Torain would miss only about two weeks of action. Torain, who started eight games last season, suffered a blow to his left wrist when he was tackled during the 11-on-11 portion of Wednesday morning’s practice.
Source: Washington Post

An opportunity for Tim Hightower to show his new team what he's got....Hightower can look impressive at times....

TE Chris Cooley Watching Fred Davis from Sidelines
As the first-team offense has hit the field during training camp practices, there’s been one player who has been tough to miss: tight end Fred Davis. For starters, he’s looked pretty good. And last year’s starter, Chris Cooley, has watched a lot of the 11-on-11 drills from the sideline. So what’s the deal? Well, it depends on who you ask. “Chris is a little banged up, so they’re giving me an opportunity to get out there a little bit more,” Davis said.
Said quarterback John Beck: “I know Chris is, kind of like, not getting out every single rep. We’re trying to kind of monitor him.” And here’s offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan: “Cooley’s good. He’s been doing good.”
Source: Washington Post

Fred Davis has big play ability, and that's what the Redskins offense is in dire need of. I thought that we would see more of Davis last season, but it didn't play out that way...we're going to downgrade Cooley a bit in the next update, as it's logical to expect Davis is going to see more PT this season.

Rookie DT Nick Fairley to Miss Significant Portion of Training Camp after Surgery
The Detroit Lions received some bad news today when a second opinion on the injured left foot of Nick Fairley was consistent with what the Lions had originally believed - surgery was necessary. Noted surgeon Dr. Bob Anderson of Charlotte, N.C. performed the procedure today and the Lions said Fairley would miss a "significant portion of training camp.'' The Lions are not saying exactly what's wrong with Fairley or what the surgery entailed. Fairley suffered the injury on Monday, apparently during a special teams drill. The initial X-rays, according to head coach Jim Schwartz, were negative. Fairley was in a walking boot on Tuesday and then flew to Charlotte for the second opinion.
Source: MLive.com

A blow to the Lions plan to start Fairly when the season opened.

LB Jon Beason Could Return This Weekend
Ron Rivera said LB Jon Beason, who has a strained Achilles, has been working on the side with trainers and said it’s possible he could practice before the end of the week, but he’s not completely certain. Beason was placed on the non-football injury list to start the season.
Source: Gaston Gazette

At only 26, Beason could pop back up into the top 10 at the LB position, He was averaging 110+ tackles the years prior to 2010, when he dipped to a career low of 89.

DE Osi Umenyiora’s Holdout Continues after Giants Close Trade Window
There was a brief sign of a thaw in the relationship between the Giants and Osi Umenyiora Wednesday night. But there remains an icy chill in the air.
The disgruntled defensive end was a surprise spectator at practice, hours after a source said Giants general manager Jerry Reese told him to "take the rest of the day off to clear your head." He was still refusing to participate and there is no end in sight to his war with the Giants. The fact that he stuck around, though, was something Tom Coughlin viewed as a positive sign. "I was pleased," Coughlin said. "It's a good thing. I'm hoping that's the kind of indication that we're all looking for." That may be the last sign of peace for a while, because according to a source who has spoken to Umenyiora, he is even angrier than he was when this whole mess started. The source said he was fuming Wednesday morning when the Giants told his agent, Tony Agnone, that he no longer had permission to seek a trade for his client.
Source: New York Daily News

There are few defensive lineman that apply pressure on QBs as does Umenyiora (see 13 sacks in 2010). However, because of his aggression, he doesn't do a very good job against the run (see only 34 tackles in 2010). Which leaves him on the outside of the top 15 at his position in IDP leagues.

Scary Scene in Eagles Camp as DT Mike Patterson Collapses
Eagles defensive lineman Mike Patterson flopped down on his back near the start of line drills at training camp this morning, apparently convulsing. Head athletic trainer Rick Burkholder quickly moved to stabilize Patterson's neck and clear his airway. Patterson was moving his arms, but never got off the turf, as teammates gathered around and an ambulance was summoned. Patterson eventually was loaded into the ambulance on the field, and taken to Lehigh Valley Medical Center. Eagles coach Andy Reid and Burkholder later said Patterson had suffered a seizure but was alert and stable at the hospital, undergoing tests and texting with the training staff.
Source: Philadelphia Inquirer

The latest is that Patterson may need brain surgery to correct a "tangling of blood vessels near the skull" a congenial condition called arteriovenous malformation. If Patterson does opt for the procedure, we would expect Patterson to miss considerable time. Paterson is considered one of the teams best Defensive Tackles, and his loss would be considered significant.
 

8/03/2011

RB Ronnie Brown PHI: Another day of FA and another new Philadelphia Eagle, this time at the RB position. The Eagles reached an agreement with former Dolphins RB Ronnie Brown on 1 yr, 1 million dollar deal. Brown will serve as the primary backup RB option to Lesean McCoy, a role that is best suited for the 30 year old. Brown saw his YPC fall off drastically last year in Miami, a steady 4.3/4.4 YPC guy, Brown dipped to just 3.7 YPC and tailed off significantly in the 2nd half down to 3.0 YPC. In addition to the drop in YPC, Brown saw his red zone conversion rate drop to under 20%, for the first time in a few years. Injuries along the Dolphins line along with a tough running schedule could be responsible but a lighter workload in Philly should help Brown’s average rebound. Given that the Eagles will be a projected offensive powerhouse, Brown should attract attention in the mid-to-late rounds of drafts as a handcuff option for McCoy owners and a backup RB with upside. For now though his stock will likely drop a bit with the news that he’s now assured of a backup RB role. Rookie Dion Thomas, a youngster that has me intrigued, will be pushed to the 3rd RB role behind Brown.

TE Zach Miller SEA: As we speculated in yesterday’s notes, the Raiders lost TE Zach Miller to the Seahawks. The Seahawks paid top dollar for Miller giving him a five-year $34 million dollar contract that included $17 million guaranteed. Miller hasn’t had the benefit of playing with much at the QB position in Oakland, but has acted like an elite security blanket averaging 61 catches and 756 yards, with just 3 TD’s, over the last 3 years. With Sidney Rice and Mike Williams representing two big red zone targets, it’s possible Miller’s option as the primary red zone target in the passing game, as he was in Oakland, falls. However, he should see a bit of a boost as safeties have to respect the outside passing game of the Seahawks more than they ever did with the Raiders. In addition, Miller should be behind the foot issues that plagued him last season, allowing his YPC to recover back above 12. While Miller might lose some red zone opportunities, he should make up for it with a pass-happier offense and a recovery in health. Currently being drafted outside of the Top 10 TE’s, Miller will be a nice late-round sleeper/bounceback candidate at the TE position.

LB David Harris NYJ: The Jets locked up their 27 year old inside linebacker on Thursday with a 4 year $36 million dollar contract that included $29 million guaranteed. Harris was due for a pay raise after putting together an average of 107 tackles a year for his first four seasons in the league. He’ll continue to rack up tackles, while providing the occasional sack, as an IDP stalwart on the interior of the Jets defense.

RB Jacquizz Rodgers ATL: NOW it feels like football season is back. Only a few days into camp and we’re starting to hear some buzz about the rookie skill position players. Yesterday it was with regards to Jacquizz Rodgers, the Falcons 5th rd pick out of Oregon State. Matt Ryan raved about Rodgers ability in the passing game, noting he already knows many of the protections and proclaiming him the 3rd down back. Whether this is leverage in any potential negotiations with Jason Snelling or not, we’ll find out soon enough. Rodgers is a small scat back who was very productive at Oregon State, particularly in the passing game where he posted a 78 reception 2009 and averaged 50 catches a year in his 3 years. He doesn’t have top end speed, despite his small stature (ran just a 4.6 40-yard dash at the combine), but if he can hold his own in the passing game, he’ll carve out a role. If Jason Snelling isn’t brought back, Rodgers would compete with Gartrell Johnson for a backup role as the primary ball carrier while having little competition for the 3rd down back role.

RB Ray Rice BAL: It’s quietly been a nice quick offseason for Ray Rice. He’s seen his primary red zone competition move on to Denver and over the weekend the Ravens agreed to terms with FB Vonta Leach. Leach was the lead-blocker in front of Arian Foster’s breakout season last year and is widely considered one of the best lead blocking backs in all of football. Rice saw his production dip a bit last season with his YPC down to 4.0 and his production in the passing game down as well. With the Ravens having just Jalen Parmalee behind Rice, he looks in-line for a nice rebound in value as the focal point of the Ravens offense, with a few more pieces in the offense designed specifically to help Rice.

RB Ryan Torain WAS: Torain was one of the better waiver wire finds in the middle of the season last year as he finally was able to capitalize on an opportunity without his body breaking down. Torain rushed for over 4.5 YPC and turned out to be one of the more consistent scorers, scoring at least 6 fantasy points in each of the last 8 starts. With little competition on the roster, owners felt pretty confident that Mike Shannahan’s pet would be a fine keeper option heading into the 2011 season. Since the end of the year though the Redskins have brought in plenty of competition by drafting Roy Helu in the 4th rd and then trading for Tim Hightower earlier in the week. Torain’s injury history warrants the Redskins improving the depth in the backfield, but Torain’s talent level should win out when healthy. He’s been taking first team reps in practice and while the acquisition of Tim Hightower to likely operate as the 3rd down back will take some receiving value off the table for Torain, it may also help keep him healthy. The increased competition coupled with the injury concerns have helped Torain’s value stumble in early mock drafts, but we see him as a solid 7th rd selection.

WR Jeremy Maclin PHI: Maclin finally reported to camp on Tuesday after a brief five-day absence that has been attributed to a relapse with a bout of mono-nucleosis that Maclin suffered in the offseason. Listening to some of the Philadelphia beat reporters and radio personalities it sounds like Maclin looks like a shell of his former self, having reportedly dropped 15 lbs. It’s a situation we’ll have to keep an eye on as the preseason progresses. Maclin broke out last season with 70 catches, 964 yards, and 10 TDs; serving as the Eagles primary red zone target. With DeSean Jackson holding out, Maclin has a nice opportunity to expand his role in the offense clicking with Michael Vick. The question is whether he can’t himself into shape and fully prepared for the regular season. With five full weeks he should have enough time to prepare, but it’s a situation worth monitoring for fantasy owners.

RB Jerious Norwood STL: The Rams finally found their backup option to Steven Jackson when they signed Jerious Norwood to a 1-year contract on Tuesday. Norwood never lived up to the potential he flashed in Atlanta, failing to stay healthy and lacking the offensive versatility to stay on the field. Jackson’s had to shoulder a heavy load throughout his career as a ball-carrier and a receiver and last year his production showed some signs of decline. The Rams needed to get an adequate backup threat as their offensive production fell considerably in recent years when Jackson left the field. Whether Norwood can be that option remains to be seen as he’s 1 year removed from ACL surgery. We’ll get a better look to evaluate Norwood in the preseason, but his presence isn’t a threat to Jackson’s performance and by providing an adequate ball-carrier to provide Jackson a breather, may actually be a beneficiary.

RB Mikel Leshoure DET: If early ADP data holds up, I think Mikel Leshoure is going to end up being one of the steals of the draft for fantasy owners. Leshoure was a physical inside runner at Illinois who had a knack for falling forward and squeezing through tight holes. The Lions still want Jahvid Best to be involved heavily in the passing game and likely as the primary ball carrier, but given Best’s fragile body and Leshoure’s likely goal-line role from the start, makes me believe Leshoure’s going to have value throughout the season. Some of the ADP Data I’ve seen suggests Leshoure is going outside the Top 50 RB’s and we have him ranked inside the Top 40.

WR Kenny Britt TEN: If he can just stay out of trouble, Kenny Britt has the potential to be one of the great fantasy WRs and a mid-round steal. Britt possesses elite tools for a WR and the Titans recognized it from the start last year. Britt saw his YPC raise to over 18 and his targets/game to nearly 7 a game. While Kerry Collins won’t be around to lock in on Britt, new QB Matt Hasselbeck has some of the same tendencies. Last year in Seattle Hasselbeck’s favorite receiving target Mike Williams saw nearly 7 targets per game and saw nearly twice as many targets as the next leading receiver. If Britt can earn the same treatment from Hasselbeck and Britt can stay out of trouble, we might be looking at the Hakeem Nicks of 2011.

RB Peyton Hillis CLE: I don’t think there was any site on the web that was as aggressive as we were on Peyton Hillis last year, ranking him rounds ahead of everyone else. So it might surprise our returning subscribers to see Hillis has tumbled down our rankings, outside of the Top 15 RB’s and barely inside the Top 50 overall. It’s not that we don’t like Hillis, it’s simply that last season was the perfect storm of events for Hillis. He had no competition in the backfield and had a coaching staff that centered the entire offense around his running and receiving abilities. This year the Browns will have 2nd round draft pick from 2010 Montario Hardesty back in the fold and they’ve brought over a new head coach Pat Shurmur to implement a west coast offense that figures to focus more on Colt McCoy’s development than Peyton Hillis’ fantasy production. We’re projecting some of the same levels of efficiency for Hillis, but expecting to see a decline in playing time and a modest decline in the passing game as well. With his current early 2nd round ADP, Hillis looks overvalued.

QB Mark Sanchez NYJ: A couple sources on Twitter were noting that the Jets intend to open up the offense heading into 2011, something that those who own Dustin Keller or Santonio Holmes would love to see happen. There was similar sentiments floating around Jets camp last year around this time as the Jets talked about trusting their QB more and utilizing the weapons they had brought in, but ultimately the Jets remained one of the few teams in the NFL to run the ball more than they threw it. While Sanchez has performed strongly in key moments, his performance hasn’t shown much in the way of sustained improvement. He cut down on the interceptions in his 2nd year, but his YPA remained steady despite seeing significant improvements in his receiving corps. In the 2nd half of the season his completion % improved slightly but his YPA dropped and his TD:INT Ratio turned back below 1. While the Jets may want to open up the offense a bit more this year, I question that they’ll actually be able to do it when push comes to shove. Santonio Holmes remains a solid WR2 with WR1 upside, but the rest of the passing game leaves a lot to be desired.

WR Mario Manningham NYG: If you’re able to participate in early drafts this year, you’ll get the benefit of being way ahead of the industry curve on Mario Manningham. I guess its because people haven’t seen Steve Smith in his recovery from micro-fracture surgery that Manningham’s stock hasn’t rocketed as it should, but Smith isn’t expected to be back for AT LEAST the first month of the season. That leaves Manningham as the clear cut #2 on the depth chart with Derek Hagan, who was brought in off the street last year, as the #3. When Nicks and Smith were healthy we saw the Giants passing game was able to produce multiple fantasy threats and at times Manningham even held value as the #3 WR. He’s an explosive option who posted surprisingly strong completion %’s for a WR that has long been criticized for his hands. He’s got big time play-making potential and with Hakeem Nicks getting a healthy bit of attention, Manningham figures to have a shot at improving on his quiet breakout 2010 season in which he notched 944 yards and 9 TD’s. Manningham is currently being drafted just inside the Top 40 WR’s and we have him just outside the Top 20. He alone is a reason to get your draft date pushed up!

QB John Beck WAS: The Redskins were able to re-up with Rex Grossman on Tuesday but if the terms of the deal are telling at all with regards to the Redskins hierarchy, it looks like Mike Shannahan is pretty darn serious about John Beck as his starting QB. Grossman inked just a 1-year deal that will pay him $1.5 million, which would be considered backup money in most circles. Beck hasn’t thrown an NFL pass since 2007 with the Dolphins. His time with the Dolphins was largely known for indecisiveness, taking sacks, and dumping the ball off. Sounds like a good recipe for success in a division that has aggressive pass-rushing defenses like the Eagles, Cowboys, and Giants. Shannahan has said to be staking his reputation on John Beck, which I believe were the last words of Cam Cameron as a head coach. Whether Shannahan is a mad genius or just mad we’ll find out soon enough, but until we see some revelations from Mr. Beck, the entire Redskins offense gets a bit of a downgrade, specifically Chris Cooley and Santana Moss.

TE Tony Gonzalez ATL: Three straight years of declining production, coupled with the addition of a Top 10 WR pick that the GM gave up a boatload to get and Tony Gonzalez’s stock is dropping faster than even the US Stock Market. In 2010 Gonzalez saw plenty of opportunities. He ranked 2nd in the team in targets with 109 and saw the 2nd highest % of red zone targets (22%) on the team as well. His 6 TD’s were fine, but the drop-off in yards was significant for the 2nd straight year as Gonzalez produced just 656 yards. With Julio Jones on the field as a legitimate 2nd playmaker, there’s some legitimate questions about whether Gonzalez can rebound. We’re a bit more pessimistic than most thinking the name value exceeds the actual value as he’s fallen outside of our Top 10 TE options.

QB Matthew Stafford DET: There’s an awful lot of hype surrounding Matt Stafford heading into this fantasy season. The former #1 overall pick certainly has the accompanying pieces in place to take a big leap forward, but continued concerns about his health make us concerned that owners may be betting on the come in drafts. Though Stafford improved his ball-security in the limited time he was on the field in 2010, throwing just 1 interception in just under 100 attempts, his YPA fell to a below average 5.5 YPA. With the type of playmakers surrounding Stafford the unwillingess to push the ball down the field is a bit of a concern. I’m one of those who believes in Stafford’s ability to take another step forward this year, but his current draft position right around Matt Ryan, Josh Freeman, and Eli Manning seems to be scurting stability for an upside that may not even be as high as the guys being drafted right around him

WR Randy Moss FA: Moss has supposedly made the decision to end his career, which given our recent history with NFL players making retirements has everyone immediately speculating which team will be able to lure Moss out of retirement. Watching Moss at the end of last year struggle to get separation and generally look disinterested makes me believe he’s legitimately not returning. One of the most explosive and exciting fantasy players to watch and own in my lifetime Moss’ impact on the field was missed last year but the fear his name brought in the pits of opponents stomachs will be missed. If Moss does return I’m at the point I’ve written off so many recent comebacks that I’d consider taking a flier, but given the lack of production last year and the current talk of retirement it doesn’t appear likely.

DL Ty Warren DEN: The Broncos signed Ty Warren to a 2 year, $10 million dollar deal on Tuesday as they continue to try to add bodies to a depleted defensive line that was run all over last season. When healthy, Warren was an effective run-stopper as a 3-4 end. He’ll be installed as a starter, likely alongside newly acquired Broderick Bunckley in a 4-3 setup in Denver. Warren himself doesn’t warrant much fantasy attention in IDP formats, 20.5 sacks in 7 years, but his presence could help solve some of the Broncos woes against the run. The Denver defense made for one of the most fantasy friendly opposing matchups last year for RB’s as they allowed on average nearly 155 yards/game and 1.6 Rush TD’s. The Broncos had a long way to go in the first place to improve the run defense and even a healthy Warren will leave them as a favorable matchup, but this is a step in the right direction for a team that is in desperate need of depth.

DL Osi Umenyiora NYG: It appears Umenyiora will get his wish and get a trade negotiated by the end of the week. The Giants haven’t been willing to meet Umenyiora’s extension demands and as a result it’s gotten to a pretty ugly point in the relationship. The Giants have continued to stock up on pass-rushers year in and year out and with the re-signing of Mathias Kiwanuka they had a bit of leverage here to allow Osi to seek a trade. The Giants are reportedly looking for a 2nd rd pick which may help the future, but will leave the Giants thin up front and take away a significant edge rusher from their stable. Umenyiora has averaged 10.8 sacks per season over the last 5 years. His departure will hurt some of the sack projections for the Giants and be a nice boost to whomever the acquiring team is.

Today's notes are brought to us by Fantistics Drew Dinkmeyer. See you tomorrow Folks. - Anthony

8/02/2011

WR Dez Bryant Has Better Understanding of Cowboys Offense in Second Season

The confidence came with experience, Dez Bryant said. These days, the second-year wide receiver doesn't have to think about the play that was called. "I just get up on the line and go," Bryant said. "I feel like I know way more than I did last year." Back then, there were murmurs of concern throughout Valley Ranch regarding Bryant inability to grasp certain elements of the Cowboys' playbook. Even as he made a considerable impact -- catching 45 passes for 561 yards and six touchdowns -- there were times when Bryant seemed lost during his first year in the NFL. But as time went on, Miles Austin and quarterback Tony Romo took it upon themselves to helped re-orient Bryant. The three stars worked together this offseason at the player-run practices that were conducted in Southlake this past May. Bryant, whose rookie campaign ended prematurely when he fractured his right fibula Dec. 5, said they "made sure everything was right." And according to Bryant, it is. Instead of thinking through his routes as he ran them, Bryant said he is now able to act on instinct while working within the parameters of the given play. It shows. Bryant has been impressive in training camp -- making some acrobatic catches and finding openings in congested areas of the field.

Source: Dallas Morning News

If you watched Dez Bryant play last year, you already know that he's a playmaker. We're projecting him to post 1,100 receiving yards, 92 receptions, and 11 TDs this season...and that would make him a top 10 fantasy WR. Did I mention that he had a perfect Red Zone conversion % last season?

Cowboys RB Coach Wants Consistency From Felix Jones

Felix Jones got a reputation for big plays very early in his career. He had a 60-yard touchdown run and a 98-yard kickoff return for a touchdown as a rookie, and he averaged 8.9 yards a carry that first year. Since then, the big plays have come less often. He scored only one touchdown in 2010 and averaged 4.3 yards. But it doesn’t worry running backs coach Skip Peete, who said big plays are only part of what defines a back. “A 4-yard run in a physical play, setting the tone for the game, is a good thing,” he said. “We were kind of spoiled with Felix early in his career because he was splitting time with Marion Barber, then he’d come in, he had special plays designed for him, and defenses hadn’t seen him. Then, all of a sudden, he’d explode and get a 50-yard run or a 60-yard pass, and you expected that’s what he’s going to do all the time.” Jones doesn’t have to do that, Peete said. He just needs to be steady. “You look at the guys that are the starting tailbacks in this league that are steady, they get the 4-yard run, the 15-yard run, they get the occasional big run,” he said.

Source: Fort Worth Star-Telegram

Felix lost a step last season, and many observed/noted that he had put on some weight since his rookie season. Although he was respectable with a 24% first down conversion ratio, he only had 3 runs for over 20 yards last season. It remains to be seen how conditioned Jones is this preseason, as he does have breakout potential. We currently rank him 19th in a typical league setup.

Texans Andre Johnson dislocates left index finger

Houston Texans All-Pro receiver Andre Johnson has left morning practice with a dislocated left index finger. Johnson was running a slant route in an individual drill Tuesday and leaped to catch a pass, with rookie cornerback Rashad Carmichael defending. Johnson couldn't make the catch and came down shaking his left hand. He took off his glove and walked to the sideline, where a trainer examined him. General manager Rick Smith walked over to Johnson before the five-time Pro Bowl selection left the field on a cart. Coach Gary Kubiak did not know the severity of Johnson's injury after the morning practice. But he was hopeful that Johnson would be ready for the afternoon workout.

Source: ESPN.com

The good news here is that, as Adam Schefter reports, the Texans believed that Johnson could have returned to afternoon practice, but being that it's the preseason that didn't happen. Johnson may miss a few days here, fortunately it doesn't sound like fantasy's #1 receiver will miss any regular season time because of this injury.
 

WR Brandon Lloyd, DE Elvis Dumervil Impressing New Coach John Fox Early

Even established Broncos players such as Elvis Dumervil and Brandon Lloyd are trying to make a strong first impression on new coach John Fox. "I've really been impressed with Brandon Lloyd," Fox said. "He's a playmaker. Works hard. And he has a little personality." And Dumervil, the 2009 NFL sack leader who missed all of last season with a torn pectoral injury? "I think when something really important to you is taken away, your passion for it goes up a notch," Fox said. "He's playing with a lot of energy."

Source: Denver Post

Although Lloyd enjoyed most of his success last season with Orton under the helm, do consider that during his last 3 games with Tebow, Lloyd posted 14, 11, & 12 fantasy points. If Orton sticks, Lloyd is a top 15 at his position. Dumervil's season ending injury during the preseason of 2010, was one of the reasons why the Broncos defense was so bad last year. His return to health will provide the Broncos with a nice boost. 

New Panther QB Derek Anderson to Start Until Cam Newton is Ready?

Cam Newton has a new quarterback mentor: Cleveland Browns and Arizona Cardinals castoff Derek Anderson. Anderson, 28, signed a one-year deal with the Panthers on Monday to fill a veteran void at the position, and perhaps bridge the gap until Newton is ready to start. Terms of the deal were undisclosed. Anderson was released last week by Arizona, where he was benched last season and replaced by undrafted rookie Max Hall.

Source: Charlotte Observer

There is little concern that Anderson will hold the starting job for more than it takes Newton to be ready. What's a bit surprising is that Jimmy Clausen may not be given a second chance...

Browns’ Coach Pat Shurmur Impressed with Maturity of QB Colt McCoy

Two days into his first training camp as head coach of the Cleveland Browns, one thing has stood out to Pat Shurmur: the maturity of his quarterback Colt McCoy. Shurmur, a former quarterbacks coach with the Philadelphia Eagles and offensive coordinator for the St. Louis Rams, has noticed McCoy’s ability to accept responsibility for what happens between the lines, as well as in the classroom. “He’s pretty good about knowing what’s coming,” Shurmur said. “Typically, a quarterback will evaluate himself after every play. When you go into that meeting, then you’re kind of confirming and denying what we both think about the situation. I will say this about Colt, he is very good about admitting when he makes a mistake and that allows you to move forward and find a correction, get it corrected and move on. I like that about him.”

Source: ClevelandBrowns.com

McCoy's rookie campaign wasn't very impressive on the surface, but when you consider that he played the toughest defenses in the league (Pit,NO,NE,NYJ,Bal)...there is reason for optimism. Also consider that his Difficulty of Schedule improves from a F to an A-. Unless you play in a 2 QB league, this is all secondary talk.

Jermichael Finley Vows to Change the TE Position

It was hours before the Green Bay Packers' first practice of training camp when tight end Jermichael Finley stepped in front of reporters and announced that if he makes it through this season without missing a game he would "change the tight end position." Then came the exclamation point. "I guarantee it," he said. I didn't know what he meant then, but I do now. I attended practice the next two nights and saw the future of the tight end position in jersey No. 88 for the Green Bay Packers. It is Jermichael Finley, and he is part wide receiver, part tight end and All-World at one of the game's most important positions. Not since Tony Gonzalez appeared on the scene have I seen a tight end with hands this sure. In fact, during Sunday's 7-on-7 drill, Finley did the improbable and caught two passes at once -- one with each hand. “He’s sore. We’ll probably do a few more tests and things like that, but the X-rays were negative, so hopefully, we’ll get him back soon.”

Source: Clark Judge – CBS Sports

Yea, he's that good...but injuries seem to be attaching to him quite frequently the last 3 years. Hopefully this one is minor...but it's a concern.

WR Austin Collie Practices Without Limitations

Austin Collie, a man of measured words, returned to the field today at Anderson University as the Colts began the training camp practice schedule.  After the morning practice, he spoke about the experience. “It’s good, it feels good,” said Collie.  “It feels good to be back with the guys and make sure that we’re all on the same page to get going...It was fun, just going through the plays and asking questions.  It feels good to be back with the team and be part of it again.” When asked if he would be limited in any way in practice, he said, “I have no idea, as of right now, no.”  When asked if being back on the field with his teammates after spending portions of the 2010 season off it made him feel a little like a fish back in the water, he replied, “Yeah, definitely.  It feels right, it feels good.”

Source: Colts.com

Collie was on pace to be the sensation of the league before injuries curtailed his season. In 9 contests, Collie accumulated 617 yards/57 completions/8 TDs and 5 Quality starts. Most importantly he runs precise routes which makes Peyton giddy (80% completion rate!). He'll be coming out of the slot to open up the season and should be considered a top 30 WR in your draft.

TE Mercedes Lewis Limited in Practice until New Deal Finalized

Marcedes Lewis mostly watched, occasionally running a half-speed route in his red Nike street shoes, in his first practice back from a short holdout. The Jaguars tight end joined his teammates early Monday morning, five days after training camp officially started. Lewis’ agent and the Jaguars’ front office are still negotiating his long-term deal. Jaguars coach Jack Del Rio agreed to hold Lewis out of full-contact practices until his long-term deal is done. He had a physical Monday morning before the team’s walkthrough practice.

Source: Florida Times Union

Lewis had a solid 70% Red Zone success rate in 2010 and a impressive 2.2 Fantasy Points per reception in 2010. More of the same expected in 2011. 

WR Percy Harvin Confident Migraine Issues Are Over

Receiver Percy Harvin confirmed what he told a Virginia newspaper in June: he's been migraine-free since January. "My health is great right now," Harvin said. "We didn't run into any setbacks over the summer. We're optimistic is all pretty much behind me." Of course, Harvin has made similar statements in the past, and his longest migraine-free stretch since kindergarten coincided with an NFL lockout that wiped out all offseason workouts and practices. But doctors worked on Harvin's neck and his diet in the offseason, and he was the first player in the building when the lockout ended last week -- something of a statement by a player who missed 36 full practices, parts of at least 13 other practices, two preseason games and two regular-season games last year.

Source: ESPN Twin Cities

The McNabb to Harvin combo is expected to produce better than anticipated results. We're expecting him to be targeted with a career high 125+ passes this season, and his current 5th round 12 selection ADP is a steal.

RB Ahmad Bradshaw Re-Signs with Giants

The Giants sent a message to Ahmad Bradshaw loudly and clearly Sunday night when they invited free-agent running back Jason Snelling in for a visit Monday. The message was definitely received. With Snelling in the building at the Giants' practice facility meeting with the Giants coaches, Bradshaw apparently came to his senses and agreed to terms on a new deal with the Giants. According to a source familiar with the contract, he signed a four-year deal, though the exact terms are not yet known.

Source: New York Daily News

Bradshaw was one of our breakout players in 2010. He struggled in the 2nd half (3.8 YPC) but still ended the season with 1235 rushing yards and 8 TDs, which was good enough for a 12.7 Fantasy Points per game (9 Quality Starts in 16 games).

Jets’ WR Jerricho Cotchery Still Out after Back Surgery

WR Jerricho Cotchery (back) and RG Brandon Moore (hip) did not participate in the walk-through. Cotchery has been cleared by the doctor who performed his offseason back surgery, but he expected to be eased back in.

Source: Newark Star-Ledger

Cotchery will likely be manning the 3 slot with Plaxico Burress now in town. Cotchery's completion percentage coming out of the 3 slot was only 47% last season...which is indicative of a receiver and QB not being on the same page.

WR Darrius Heyward-Bey Still Out, Chaz Schilens Impressing Again

Still no practice for Darrius Heyward-Bey. He’s missed the first five sessions with an undisclosed injury (they’re almost all undisclosed this year) and as much as Hue Jackson says he thinks things are fine, it’s hard to to look at it as a problem. Heyward-Bey needs these practices as much if not more than anyone to gain some traction and do something with his third season. Chaz Schilens, meanwhile, hasn’t missed a session, is playing hard, catching the ball and doing enough to inspire optimism.

Source: Oakland Tribune

Heyward-Bey is going to need to prove that he belongs on the field. Now in his 3rd season, Bey hasn't been able to muster a completion percentage above 40% to date. Chaz Schilens has had a foot problem going on 3 years. If he's truly healthy, he's a breakout receiver to keep in mind. We'll be keeping tabs on him through the preseason.

Raiders Could Lose TE Zach Miller to Seahawks

Amazing how things can change in a day. The mood regarding tight end Zach Miller was optimistic on Sunday, with one team source saying that details were being worked out on a deal. That all changed Monday with the news Miller was in Seattle visiting the Seahawks. The Raiders essentially let Miller wait while giving big money contracts to Richard Seymour, Stanford Routt and now Kamerion Wimbley, with guaranteed money totaling $71.5 million. If Miller leaves, it’s a body blow to a team that for better or worse, has seen most of its offseason plan of bringing back the players they wanted come to fruition.

Source: Oakland Tribune

This would be a big blow to the Raiders, who currently only have unproven Brandon Myers on the depth chart behind him. Miller was completely ignored for most of the 2nd half of 2010 (only 38 targeted passes). Seattle still has John Carlson as it's starting TE. Carlson had a very disappointing 2010 campaign as well, his 53% completion ratio was among the worst at his position. 

WR Mike Williams Expects to Shine After Rookie Season

Mike Williams could be a star. He is young, and he is talented, and he has the power to change the scoreboard. In his first season, we learned that about Williams. He is fleet, and he is athletic, and his hands have a grip like a politician's. He was good, and he was likeable, and he was in a hurry to be better. That much, you have seen from Williams. So far, however, you have not seen it all. And in the route to success, that may be the best news of all. "Last year, he was running on raw ability," said Eric Yarber, the Bucs receivers coach. "You didn't see all of his athletic ability. I'd say you saw about 70 percent. Maybe 75." "I'd say about 60 percent," Williams said.

Source: St. Petersburg Times

What's there not to like about the Bucs Mike Williams: 955 yards 11 TDs and 9 Quality Starts. If you watched Williams last season, it's clear that he's going to be one of the star receivers in this league. He does have room for upside as his 50% completion ratio of a year ago will attest to. 

Mario Williams Has First Practice as LB

More than three months after announcing that they were moving Mario Williams from defensive end to outside linebacker, the Texans finally got to see Williams in action at his new position. Both of Monday’s practices were pads-free, but Williams absolutely crushed tackling dummies during individual drills. “Boy, was it exciting to see him go through the linebacker drills today,” Texans coach Gary Kubiak said. “I think he’s very excited about his career and where it’s going now with this new position, so it’ll be fun to watch for all of us.” Williams looks much leaner but said he weighs 285 pounds, close to his weight from last season. He called Wade Phillips a “phenomenal coach” and said he was excited about the switch to a 3-4.

Source: HoustonTexans.com

Williams has been a fantasy disappointment the last 3 years, as his tackles have steadily declined from 44 in 2008, to only 22 last season. It will be interesting to see how effective he'll be in the new slot.

Rookie DT Nick Fairley Injures Foot in Lions Camp

Rookie Nick Fairley left Detroit Lions practice this morning with a sore foot, but coach Jim Schwartz said X-rays were negative. He didn’t offer a timetable for the defensive tackle’s return. “Nick sort of tweaked his foot during pass-rush, or individual (drills), one of those things,” Schwartz said. “They sent him in to get it X-rayed, just to make sure there was nothing, no broken bone in there, because he wanted to keep on practicing. So we sent him in, and that was negative.

Source: Detroit Free Press

Fairley is going to be an elite defensive lineman in the league. A combination of size and athletic ability are rare at 315 pounds. The Lions defense improved dramatically last season and with the addition of CB Eric Wright, LB Stephen Tulloch, and LB Justin Durant, it looks like we may see another favorable climb for the Lions defense.

Bengals Ink Former 49ers LB Manny Lawson

Outside linebacker Manny Lawson agreed to terms with the Cincinnati Bengals on a one-year contract, Pro Football Talk reported Monday night. Lawson, whom the 49ers selected with the No. 22 overall pick in the 2006 draft, will join cornerback Nate Clements, who signed with the Bengals over the weekend after the 49ers released him. Lawson, whose one-year contract will pay him $3 million, becomes the third starter off the 49ers' defense from a year ago to leave the team. Linebacker Takeo Spikes signed with the Chargers as a free agent. Clements was released to save the 49ers more than $15 million on the salary cap. Nose tackle Aubrayo Franklin and safety Dashon Goldson remained unsigned. Franklin was scheduled to visit with 49ers coaches Monday evening, but there’s been no agreement for him to return to the team.

Source: CSN Bay Area

Lawson is good for about 50 tackles and 11-15 assists every season. Not a big sack guy 2-6, and is outside the reach of most IDP leagues.

49ers Agree to Terms with Veteran Safety Madieu Williams

The 49ers on Monday agreed to a one-year contract with safety Madieu Williams, a league source said. Williams, whom the Minnesota Vikings released last week, started 13 games last season, and recorded 75 tackles and one interception. He was scheduled to earn $5.4 million in salary this season, prompting the Vikings to release him.

Source: CSN Bay Area

Williams is considered a below average Safety, both from an NFL and and IDP perspective. He only defended 2 passes last season and that's not because they weren't throwing in his direction.

Rookie CB Jimmy Smith Injures Groin

Jimmy Smith, the Ravens’ first-round pick in the draft in April, tweaked his groin during the early stages of practice Monday, and the cornerback was held out of the remainder of practice at training camp at the team’s practice facility in Owings Mills. Smith, the 27th overall pick, pulled up while trying to shadow rookie wide receiver LaQuan Williams (Maryland) on a crossing route. Smith wore a bag of ice under his pants and did not return to the field.

Source: Baltimore Sun

Smith is expected to make an immediate impact with the Jags secondary. Last season the Jags ranked 28th worst in Yardage allowed from scrimmage (371). We are projecting 53 tackles, 13 assists and 9 passes defended from Smith in our projections software this season.

8/01/2011

 WR Randy Moss to Retire
Seven-time Pro Bowl wide receiver Randy Moss will retire rather than suit up for a 14th NFL season. Moss' 153 TD catches are tied for the most among current players with Terrell Owens. However, Moss, 34, played for three teams in 2010 - he was traded from New England to Minnesota last October, waived by the Vikings in November before finishing out with Tennessee - and had his least productive season (28 catches, 393 yards, 5 TDs). But his career totals - 954 grabs (8th all-time) for 14,858 yards (5th) and those 153 scores (T2nd behind Jerry Rice's 197) - will almost certainly land him in the Pro Football Hall of Fame.
Source: Pensecola News Journal

So much for Moss being in the best shape of his career (yes never pay attention to Player Agent hype)....virtually no interest was shown for Moss after a disappointing tour of teams last season. Consider this the end of an era, and we'll certainly miss the Moss Snoop Dog'esque press conferences.

Cardinals Sign TE Todd Heap, Deal RB Tim Hightower to Redskins
The Cardinals signed their top two draft picks in the morning, added veteran tight end Todd Heap a little later, re-acquired starting guard Deuce Lutui in late afternoon and then completed a trade that sent starting running back Tim Hightower to the Redskins.
Source: Arizona Republic

The addition of Todd Heap is going to go a long way in the development/success of Kevin Kolb. He's lost a step, and is very injury prone, but still has excellent hands for a big tight end. He's no longer a TE1, but should be considered in Flex leagues. Kolb relied on Celek when in Philly, expectations now shift to the Kolb/Heap combo.  Tim Hightower enter a very crowded backfield for the Redskins. He'll be competing for playing time with Ryan Torain, rookie Roy Helu, and Keiland Williams. The Cardinals received aging defensive lineman Vonnie Holliday in return.

Ravens Could See Boost in Running Game with Addition of FB Vonta Leach
The Ravens reached an agreement with Vonta Leach, the free-agent fullback announced on Twitter. “My job is to do whatever it takes to help the team to win,” Leach said in a phone interview with The Sun. “With me and the offensive line working as one unit, I think we can get the job done.”
Leach is considered the top fullback in free agency after being the lead blocker for Houston's Arian Foster, the NFL's rushing champion. According to the Houston Chronicle, he agreed to a three-year deal worth $11 million.
Ravens running back Ray Rice welcomed the addition. “The purple and black just turned it up a big notch!” Rice said. “Having Vonta as a part of our offense makes us stronger and puts us one step closer to a Super Bowl, plain and simple. I can’t wait to get out there on the field with him. I know he and I are going to just click.”
Source: Baltimore Sun

Leach is considered the best blocking full back in the NFL, his departure will have an impact on Arian Foster's totals. This could provide a nice boost for Ray Rice, who saw his YPC average drop to a disappointing 4.0 Yards per carry last season. Expect his YPC to rise back above 4.5 this season.

QB Cam Newton Flashing Arm Strength in Panthers Camp
Watching Cam Newton practice, it's impossible not to notice his arm strength. The ball practically whistles when he throws it and he makes throwing deep look easy as in the pass he threw 50 yards to David Gettis in a passing drill. Other times, though, Newton's shorter passes have almost too much heat on them and his accuracy on mid-range throws varies.
Source: Charlotte Observer

See, there is some hope for Panthers receiver Steve Smith.

Bears Sticking with Matt Spaeth, Kellen Davis at TE
Jerry Angelo confirmed that the decision to trade Greg Olsen was more about Olsen’s fit in the Bears’ offense than anything else. With Olsen and Manumaleuna gone, the Bears are going with former Steeler Matt Spaeth and veteran Kellen Davis at tight end. ‘‘We’re not looking for Kellen Winslow; we’re looking for Mike Ditka,’’ Angelo said. ‘‘And so, the tight ends we have now really fit more of the profile we want for our offense. It’s no more than that.’’
Source: Chicago Sun-Times

Confirmation of what we already knew. A pass catching TE is not part of the Mike Martz system.

RB Cedric Benson Returns to Bengals on One-Year Deal
What everyone expected to happen, finally did after Sunday’s training camp practice as running back Cedric Benson has agreed to a one-year deal with the Bengals. Per a league source it is for $3 million with up to $2 million in incentives. Word of Benson’s signing came out as Marvin Lewis was conducting his post-practice press conference. “I’m happy Cedric is back,” Lewis said. Benson will be entering his fourth season with the Bengals. He signed prior to Week 5 in the 2008 season and has back-to-back 1,000 yard years. He also has 12 100-yard games in his Bengals tenure.
Source: Cincinnati Enquirer

As expected, Cedric the Entertainer is back with the Bengals...although he posted another 1,100 yard season, he only averaged 11.1 Fantasy points per start last season and 3.5 YPC. Additionally with an weaker than desired situation at QB this season, the Bengals could be looking at a loaded box when on offense. Our projections are not showing any love for Benson this season, and we're recommending Bernard Scott earlier than most.

Rookie WR Greg Little Playing with Starters, Mohamed Massaquoi and Josh Cribbs Hurt
So much for rookie receiver Greg Little easing his way into football shape and knocking the rust off after sitting out all last season. Little, the Browns' second-round pick, was thrust into the starting lineup on Sunday's second day of camp because of injuries to receivers Mohamed Massaquoi (foot) and Josh Cribbs, who went down early in practice with a possible leg muscle strain and didn't return. Carlton Mitchell also left practice early with a shoulder injury. Little, who had been operating as the third or fourth wideout, was suddenly starting opposite Brian Robiskie in two-receiver sets -- and looking solid in drills.
Source: Cleveland Plain Dealer

Little is an explosive receiver with the reputation for making difficult catches in traffic. At 6'3" 220, he'll provide the Browns Colt McCoy with another dimension. Don't be deceived by his 2nd round status as he slipped into the 2nd round because of his NCAA 2010 ineligibility. He's still a long shot to start the season at wide out, but we're keeping an eye on him.

Rookie Dan Bailey Outkicking David Buehler Early in Cowboys Camp
Rookie kicker Dan Bailey was asked Sunday morning about going 14-for-14 in the first three days of training camp as he tries to unseat veteran David Buehler. Bailey, the Lou Groza Award winner as the nation’s best kicker last season, jinxed himself. On Sunday afternoon, he was wide left on a 48-yard attempt and later hit the right upright and missed from 43. He's now 17-of-19 for training camp. Buehler made only 2-of-5 kicks Sunday, though one was a hurry-up from 58 yards, and he now is 12 of 20. He has been wide left, wide right and short from 35, 38, 41, 44, 34, 58, 38 and 44. Buehler didn’t exactly didn’t get a vote of confidence from Jerry Jones, who said, “I think he can win the job.” Despite that, it’s Buehler’s job to lose, kicking coach Chris Boinol said. Buehler said the same, but knows he'll have to perform better to keep the job.
Source: Dallas Morning News

Buehler has a strong leg, but his accuracy is horrible....at least it was last season. He'll be under constant scrutiny the entire season, and odds are he doesn't finish the season as the Cowboys FG kicker.

Broncos Officially Ink RB Willis McGahee
The Broncos have started to make serious moves on the free-agent market. No. 1B running back Willis McGahee and No. 4 receiver David Anderson have been signed and the team continues to negotiate with former New England Patriots defensive tackle Ty Warren, who visited the team Saturday night.
Source: Denver Post

The Broncos were desperately seeking someone to compliment oft injured Knowshon Moreno. Moreno hasn't been receiving any love from the community this preseason as his 4.08 ADP attests. We believe he's a steal in the 3rd/4th rounds

WR Calvin Johnson Bulked Up in Offseason
Make that Mega Megatron. While it almost seems unfair, Calvin Johnson said he's getting bigger. "Yeah, man," the Lions' Pro Bowl receiver said Saturday. "My trainer was trying to get me to get my swole on this off-season. He's trying to add some weight to my shoulders and my legs, just to generate more power, more explosion. I think it's going to pay off." Johnson said he added 5 pounds during the off-season. But he wants to keep the weight on his 6-foot-5 frame under 240. He's officially listed at 236.
Source: Detroit Free Press

Calvin Johnson posted 5 quality Starts in the 2nd half of 2010, and he did it without the team's best QB at the helm. Obviously he's one of the top fantasy WR options, who has generated at least 135 targets each of the last 3 years. We've got him as #2, but he could easily finish the season as #1.

RB Jahvid Best Completely Recovered from Turf Toe That Slowed Him Late Last Season
Running back Jahvid Best looked quick, and he's healed from turf toe in both feet. After about an eight-week break at the end of the season, he began working out lightly in February, then going hard in March. "Unless it's the same thing, the same kind of hits happen again, you can't be cured from it," Best said of turf toe, which is the spraining of toe ligaments. "I can't get it again. I'm just praying that it won't happen again. But as far as lingering from last year, there's no way."
Source: Detroit Free Press

Last year, we scouted Best in the preseaosn (before his turf toe injury) and felt that he could have easily been a top 15 runningback in the league. His stock is currently down with the Lion's drafting of Mikel Leshure. He's a 3rd rounder with lots of upside.

WR James Jones Back With the Pack
Quarterback Aaron Rodgers and receiver Donald Driver put a full-court press on Thompson and negotiator Russ Ball to re-sign free agent receiver James Jones. Ted Thompson may never admit he gave in to his team leaders' wishes, but on Sunday he signed Jones to a three-year deal, agent Frank Bauer said. "I don't know many quarterbacks who could have done that other than Peyton Manning," Bauer said. "He and Driver really stepped up. That's rare for a quarterback and receiver to do that. That's really neat. James is really excited about coming back. He's very happy." Terms of Jones' deal were not yet available.
Source: Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel

At 27, Jones had his best season, registering 679 yards, with 395 yards and 4 TDs coming in the 2nd half. Rodgers likes to spread the ball around, and as a #2, it's Jordy Nelson who may have more upside with a similar YPR but higher completion ratio (70.3 vs 57.5%).

TE Jermichael Finley Could Get Green Light on Wednesday
Tight end Jermichael Finley could be back by Wednesday, coach Mike McCarthy said after Sunday's practice. The team is being cautious with Finley, who's coming off a season-ending knee injury. After doing very little on Saturday, Finley participated in 7-on-7 drills Sunday. He moved fluidly and seemed to cut without problems. Finley ran routes and caught one nifty quick out while sliding to the turf. Soon, that blinking yellow light will turn green.
"We're going to bring Jermichael along slowly," McCarthy said. "We'll see how he is tomorrow. The initial plan is to give him a few days and maybe he lines up Wednesday."
Source: Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel

Finley is an absolute beast who we pegged before his breakout sophomore season (09).  If he's healthy, he'll easily finish as the 2nd best TE behind Antonio Gates. His late 4th round ADP is appropriate for most league setups.

TE Mercedes Lewis Expected to End Holdout Today
The Jaguars will get their franchise-tagged tight end in training camp today.
Marcedes Lewis said he would return to Jacksonville after a five-day holdout.
“Basically they still are negotiating, but I’m tired of not being with my team!,” Lewis said in a text message. “And I need to be there ... ”
Lewis said previously he planned to stay in Los Angeles until his contract was settled. The Jaguars placed the franchise tag, worth about $7.3 million, on him last year, but Lewis wants a long-term deal rather than the one-year deal that comes with the franchise tag.
Source: Florida Times-Union

Lewis had a breakout campaign last season when he posted 700 yards and 10 TDs. With little changes made to the Jags offense this off season, we expect that Lewis will once again be the focus of the offense in the red zone.

Larger Jimmy Graham ‘The Man’ at TE for Saints
One thing has been made very clear during the New Orleans Saints first three days of practice: tight end Jimmy Graham, the second year man out of Miami, looms large in the New Orleans offense. And Graham appears ready for his starring role. He has added 10 pounds of muscle and now weight in at 265. But he still has his explosiveness and leaping ability, and quarterback Drew Brees has targeted Graham repeatedly in drills. Graham said that's not surprising - Brees is trying to get him more reps to build confidence in the connection between the two. But with veterans David Thomas and Tory Humphrey still floating in the free agent ether, Graham is unquestionably the man.
Source: The Times-Picayune

Impressive 11.8 Yards per Reception is excellent for a TE. Above average 2.13 Fantasy Points per attempt makes him a breakout candidate.

Raiders WR Jacoby Ford to Miss Two Weeks with Broken Hand
 Ford, one of the most pleasant surprises from last year's rookie class as a wide receiver and return specialist, will miss most if not all of the 31/2-week training camp after fracturing his left hand Saturday. Coach Hue Jackson said Ford is expected to be ready for the start of the regular season Sept. 12 in Denver.
Source: Oakland Tribune

Ford posted a Solid 18.8 Yards per reception last season, but his 46% completion ratio doesn't bode well for those of us that value consistency. Ford is still a strong consideration in flex leagues as he's a decent #4 WR.

Report: WR DeSean Jackson Expected to End Holdout Early This Week
DeSean Jackson will end his hold out and report to Eagles training camp either Monday or Tuesday, according to a report from 6ABC. Jackson has not reported to Eagles training camp, and while neither he nor his representatives have said anything about the situation, it's well known that he has wanted a new contract that matches his value as a Pro Bowl wide receiver. Jackson does not have a new contract, 6ABC reported.
Source: Philadelphia Inquirer

Despite the prolific offense posted by the Eagles last season, Jackson had a down trending season. Consider the 1167 yards/10 TD '09 season verses his 1056/7 TD season of '10. Of his 14 games last season, he only had 6 QS...with only 2 QS in his final 8 games. Maybe a preseason with Vick will allow them to sync a little better this season.

RB Frank Gore to End Holdout Today
Running back Frank Gore will end his contract holdout after missing the first four days of 49ers training camp, coach Jim Harbaugh told CSN Bay Area on Sunday. "I talked to Frank and it is my understanding that he is headed to Santa Clara," Harbaugh answered when asked if he had spoken to Gore, who was spotted on a flight Sunday from Miami to San Francisco. "I feel good about that. I'm really excited about that." Gore is entering the final year of his contract, and is scheduled to earn $2.9 million in base salary and $2 million in a roster bonus. The 49ers and Gore have not agreed to a contract extension, but Harbaugh said a good-faith effort will be made to negotiate a deal beyond this season. Under terms of the new collective bargaining agreement, Gore is subject to $90,000 in fines for his holdout.
Source: CSN Bay Area

Gore's production slipped as pass game was abysmal in '10. We project both his YPC (4.2) and Red Zone % to increase in '11. Still a first round talent.

Defensive Press Clippings (We have over 350 IDP rankings in our Player projections software)

Cornerback Antonio Cromartie Re-Signs with Jets
Al-Cro-traz is open for business again. The Jets agreed to terms on a new contract for free-agent cornerback Antonio Cromartie early Monday morning, according to a source. The Daily News has learned that it is a four-year deal worth $32 million. The Jets made an aggressive play for Cromartie after they lost out on the Nnamdi Asomugha sweepstakes last Friday, when the former Raiders cornerback signed with the Philadelphia Eagles.
Source: New York Daily News

Safety Troy Polamalu Pacing Himself Early in Camp
Troy Polamalu is less concerned about when he will sign a contract extension with the Steelers and more concerned how his rehabilitated Achilles tendon will hold up once the regular season begins. Polamalu, the NFL's defensive player of the year in 2010, was on the field at Saint Vincent College in Latrobe Sunday for the first practice in pads at training camp -- a good sign for the Steelers' five-time Pro Bowl safety. But that does not mean Polamalu is fully recovered from a partially torn Achilles that appeared to limit his effectiveness in the postseason and the Super Bowl. Polamalu did not need surgery to repair the injury, but the rehabilitation process took longer than expected because the tendon had to heal on its own. "It went well," Polamalu said. "It's always advantageous [when you don't have surgery]. But it's a disadvantage that it takes time for nature to take its course."
Asked when he started to feel he was close to being 100 percent recovered, Polamalu said, "I don't think it's there yet, but it's pretty close to being there."
Source: Pittsburgh Post-Gazette

DT Albert Haynesworth Passes Conditioning Test
A few hours after passing his highly anticipated conditioning test, Albert Haynesworth walked onto the Gillette Stadium practice fields for the morning walkthrough. As soon as fans spotted him, a cheer broke out.
The newly acquired defensive tackle offered a wave and a smile. His new football life had begun.
Haynesworth, the former Titans Pro Bowler and Redskins troublemaker, is a member of the Patriots now, and he took part in both practices yesterday.
Source: Boston Herald

Saints DE Will Smith Could Face Four-Game Ban to Start Season
New Orleans Saints Coach Sean Payton said Sunday he believes defensive end Will Smith will finally have to serve a four-game suspension at the beginning of the 2011 season. Smith has declined comment on the matter.
The suspension stems from a 2008 test that caught Smith and a handful of other players using a banned substance. The substance was ingested by Smith and the other players in a dietary supplement that was not banned.
Source: The Times-Picayune

Seahawks Release LB Lofa Tatupu
The Seahawks have released linebacker Lofa Tatupu, letting go of the three-time Pro Bowler and five-year captain. Tatupu, 28, was asked to take a pay cut. Instead, he requested his release. A second-round draft pick in 2005, Tatupu was a starter from his first game as a Seahawk and quickly became the nerve center for Seattle's defense.
Source: Seattle Times

Rams Rookie DE Robert Quinn Lands on NFI List with Knee Injury
Defensive end Robert Quinn, the St. Louis Rams' first-round draft pick, was on the practice field today. But his work was limited to conditioning drills with head trainer Reggie Scott. Quinn showed up Saturday at Rams Park with an injury to his right knee. He did it a couple of months ago while working out.
So, Quinn starts his first NFL training camp on the non-football injury (NFI) list. "The knee is fine," Quinn said. "Just a little tweak." Coach Steve Spagnuolo referred to it as a sprain and said Quinn could be full-go soon. "We could do it in a day, two days, three days," Spagnuolo said. "Reggie's going to take it day by day and assess it."
Source: St. Louis Post-Dispatch

Safety Laron Landry Still Sitting with Achilles Injury
LaRon Landry injured his Achilles in midseason last year. He went on injured reserves late in the season. Nearly eight months have passed and coaches are still wary about letting him go full-speed. Redskins coach Mike Shanahan said the lockout certainly didn’t help matters. Landry was unable to come to the team facility, unable to meet with trainers and rehab under the team’s watchful eye. So the Redskins now have to monitor Landry closely these first few days of camp to understand exactly what he’s ready to do on the practice field. “Any time a guy has an Achilles and he’s not able to go through rehab with your organization, you feel like there is going to be a setback,” Shanahan said following Saturday’s practice. “I think Peyton Manning said the same thing, he’d sure like to be with the people who are giving treatment all the time.” Landry is on the PUP list, which means he’s attending practice, but not able to participate in all the drills with his teammates. There doesn’t seem to be a specific timeline in place for Landry. The team has already waited eight months for the Achilles to heal, so it’s not clear when he’ll get the green light.
Source: Washington Post

Bills Add Ex-Packer LB Nick Barnett
The Buffalo Bills spent the majority of the offseason trying to retool their leaky defense, and they added another piece on Sunday with the signing of free agent inside linebacker Nick Barnett. Barnett, who played 107 games in eight years with the Green Bay Packers, reportedly agreed to terms on a three-year deal worth $12 million with $6 million guaranteed.
Source: Buffalo News

Lions Boost LB Unit with Stephen Tulloch
Days after Stephen Tulloch’s asking price appeared too rich for the Lions, the linebacker agreed to a one-year deal in Detroit where he’ll be reunited with coach Jim Schwartz, his former defensive coordinator in Tennessee.
The Lions are expected to introduce Tulloch at a press conference Monday, once his contract and physical are complete.
Source: Detroit Free Press

Texans Come To Terms with Rookie DL J.J. Watt
On the day they report to training camp, the Texans have signed all their draft choices. Defensive end J.J. Watt, the first-round pick, was the last draft choice to agree to a new deal. He gets a four-year contract, all guaranteed under the new collective bargaining agreement, for $4.701 million, including a signing bonus of $6.67 million. Under terms of the new collectively bargaining agreement, the Texans will have an option for a fifth year for Watt, 22, who was the 11th pick in the first round. The underclassman from Wisconsin is expected to start at left defensive end in defensive coordinator Wade Phillips’ new 3-4 scheme. In passing situations, Watt is expected to move inside to tackle.
Source: Houston Chronicle

7/31/2011

Jackson,Tarvaris - MIN/QB: Jackson was officially announced as being signed by Seattle for two years and $8 million. He was also named starting QB which no doubt made Charlie Whitehurst quite unhappy. Jackson is what he is, an up and down QB who had Adrian Peterson help keep defenses from killing him even more than they already did. He doesn't have that luxury in Seattle so he will continue to be inconsistent and a low fantasy priority, but he does have Sidney Rice and the rejuvenated Mike Williams to throw to.

Burress,Plaxico - NYJ/WR: Burress spurned the Giants and instead choose their cross-town rivals (NYJ). The Jets get a big target for Mark Sanchez, but will likely lose Braylon Edwards. from a fantasy perspective, no one is sure what to expect from Burress after spending the last 2 years in prison...we'll have a better gauge as the preseason gets underway.

Faulk,Kevin - NEP/RB: New England re-signed veteran running back Kevin Faulk, an unrestricted free agent who appeared in two games for the Patriots last season before tearing the ACL in his right knee and sitting out the rest of the year. The 3rd down specialist is entering his 108th year with the Patriots - a very impressive feat - but he unfortunately has no fantasy value. Interestingly, the younger BenJarvus Green-Ellis (UFA) does not appear to be in the Pats' plans.

Edwards,Trent - BUF/QB: The Oakland Raiders have signed quarterback Trent Edwards to be the backup to Jason Campbell. Edwards, a third-round draft pick in 2007 out of Stanford, opened the 2010 season as Buffalo's starter but was benched and released after two games. The Jaguars claimed him off waivers in late September. The 27-year-old Edwards has passed for 6,019 yards and 26 touchdowns. Edwards will enjoy coming back to the Bay Area (he went to school at Stanford) but the truth is even in backup duty last year, he looked terrible.

Jenkins,Michael - ATL/WR: It didn't take long for Michael Jenkins to find a new home. The Minnesota Vikings reached an agreement with the former Falcons wide receiver on a three-year contract. Letting Sidney Rice get away in free agency was a huge mistake in our opinion as he has elite ball skills and demanded exclusive attention from opposing defenses. Jenkins is no better than a #2 or #3 WR on any team. As much as he drops the ball, even Braylon Edwards would have been a better choice to start opposite Percy Harvin.

Mathews,Ryan - SDC/RB: According to the San Diego Union Tribune, Mathews admitted he was never completely healthy last season after suffering an ankle sprain which kept him out of four games. However, he is no longer plagued by any injuries and is looking forward to a strong training camp. “It took the offseason to heal,” Mathews said. “When I first got it, I tried to come back too early. Being able to have the offseason, I am back to one hundred percent.” There were many angry fantasy owners last year who drafted Mathews highly. By the time he came around - he scored five touchdowns in his last three games last year - his owners either were out of playoff contention or had permanently benched or cut him. He could bounce back in a huge way but can he shed the injury prone label?

Grant,Ryan - GBP/RB: Grant took the first snap in the backfield as the Packers opened training camp on Saturday. Grant was cleared to participate in all team drills after suffering a serious ankle injury during Week 1 against Philadelphia last season. He will be competing against last year's surging rookie - James Starks. GB's rookie pick - Alex Green - could also be in the mix as last year's change of pace back Brandon Jackson has signed with Cleveland. Even if he reclaims his lead RB spot, Grant is susceptible to injury so picking up Starks in the middle rounds is not a bad idea.

Gore,Frank - SFO/RB: Gore has decided to stay away from 49ers training camp as he enters the last year of his contract (he is scheduled to earn $5 million) in hopes of renegotiating a new deal. This is an example of the main difference between the NFL and NBA. When an NBA star enters the last year of his contract, he usually plays lights out so that he will secure a lucrative new deal the following year. However, with the huge risk of injury in the NFL as well as the average career lasting barely over 3 years, footballers make stands like this. Gore wants one more big payoff before he pulls a Shaun Alexander and fades in front of our eyes. The 49ers are getting ripped by the local fanbase for their lack of free agent action so they may be compelled to reel Gore in faster than they would like. Backups Anthony Dixon and rookie Kendall Hunter are unproven but will get a lot of preseason action.

Manning,Peyton - IND/QB: Manning has reached an agreement to resign with the Colts for $90 million over five years. Indy was willing to make Manning the highest paid player in the NFL but Manning turned the team down and instead requested they use the saved $$ on resigning some free agents. The Colts then were able to re-up with Joseph Addai. See how unselfishness makes other people happy? Manning however is dealing with the after effects of neck surgery and will not be seeing the field for any early preseason action at the very least. Rookie Delone Carter is going to be the starter on this team...but with a shortened camp season this year...the question we'll be keeping an eye on is when. Stay Tuned!

Barber III,Marion - CHI/RB: The Chicago Bears signed former Dallas Cowboy Marion Barber to a two year, $5 million contract. This was an interesting pickup considering Matt Forte's resurgence last year and the presence of Chester Taylor. Taylor will likely be released as the Bears appear to firmly believe that the more physical (than Taylor) Barber will improve their woeful goal-line offense. Barber will have about the same fantasy value in Chicago than he had in Dallas - about 4-5 TD plunges - but will have more upside if he really takes to Mike Martz's offense.

Cullen Jenkins - PHI/DL: The Philadelphia Eagles signed free agent defensive lineman Cullen Jenkins to a five-year contract on Saturday and traded former defensive tackle Brodrick Bunkley to the Cleveland Browns for a fifth-round pick in next year's draft. Jenkins is the fifth major acquisition for the Eagles, who signed free agent cornerback Nnamdi Asomugha on Friday. Since Thursday the Eagles have added four likely defensive starters in Jenkins, Asomugha, defensive end Jason Babin and cornerback Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie as well as quarterback Vince Young. The buzz out of Philly has already tabbed this year's unit a "dream team." You know, like the Miami Heat in basketball. How did that turn out? Seriously, the Eagles D is rated 10th currently in our ratings but have ridiculous upside, particularly when you consider all the points the offense will put up - which will force opposing offenses to play a lot of catch up.

Titans, Tennessee - TEN/D: Former Tampa Bay LB Barrett Ruud has signed a one-year deal with Tennessee on Saturday. Ruud, a second-round draft pick by the Bucs in 2005, paced the Bucs in tackles each of the last four seasons - averaging 127.7 tackles per year! He has been a first tier IDP player during the last four years and hopes to continue in Tennessee's aggressive scheme.

Marshall, Richard - CAR/DB: Arizona agreed on a one-year contract with free-agent cornerback Richard Marshall. The fifth-year player started all 32 games with the Carolina Panthers the past two seasons (149 tackles and seven INTs). Marshall has never missed a game in his NFL career. This was a solid pickup for the Cards, particularly after they traded Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie. Az was also able to sign stud rookie CB Patrick Peterson so the secondary is taking shape really quickly.

Rams, St. Louis - STL/D: The Rams were able to sign rookie first round draft pick DE Robert Quinn and expect big things from the college sacking machine. Also, former Green Bay Packers LB Brady Poppinga is on his way to St. Louis for a visit with the Rams on Sunday, according to NFL.com. St. Louis has been very active in free agency and would love to give its defense another piece to play with.

Jets, New York - NYJ/D: The Jets were able to sign CB Donald Strickland who was cut by San Diego. Strickland is a very good nickel corner so the team remains committed to either resign Antonio Cromartie or trade for Asante Samuel.

Bengals, Cincinnati - CIN/D: After being cut by San Francisco, the Bengals came in and swooped up free agent CB Nate Clements. The Bengals just lost Johnathan Joseph to Houston and needed a replacement. Ironically, SF was one of the teams in the Nnamdi Asomugha sweepstakes after cutting Clements. When Philly won Asomugha, SF was considering resigning Clements. Clements has clearly lost a step but is definitely serviceable in the right scheme.

Barnett, Nick - GBP/LB: According to Buffalo Rumblings, Bills receiver David Nelson spilled the beans on Twitter regarding the fact that free agent LB Nick Barnett was at camp on Saturday. The Bills need an inside linebacker, given the decision of Paul Posluszny to sign with the Jaguars. For those inclined to make educated guesses, the Bills also could pursue Channing Crowder, given that defensive coordinator George Edwards previously served as an assistant in Miami. Barnett is a solid 2nd or 3rd tier IDP LB when healthy. He has the potential to be a top tier guy depending on the scheme he chooses to join.

Haynesworth, Albert - WAS/DL: Surprise, surprise! New England free agent acquisition Albert Haynesworth didn’t pass his conditioning test Saturday. Though NE head coach Bill Belichick didn’t confirm or deny that, he did say Haynesworth isn’t ready to play quite yet. “There are things we still need to do with Albert for him to be able get on the practice field and when those things are done, he’ll be out there,” Belichick said. If Haynesworth ever gets over his conditioning issues and develops a killer instinct, he would be the top ranked DT in the fantasy game.

Samuel, Asante - PHI/DB: The Charlotte Observer reports that the Panthers are interested in trading for Asante Samuel. The connection is obvious because Sean McDermott, the new Carolina defensive coordinator, held the same role in Philly last year. McDermott has been collecting former Eagles, including LB Omar Gaither and S Sean Considine. If any team can take on Samuel's large base salaries and cap numbers, it's the Panthers, even after they re-signed so many of their pending free agents. Carolina also has a need at the position after losing Richard Marshall. Samuel is always a nice IDP pickup due to his ballhawking ways. There are CBs that rack up more tackles, but no one has been the consistent interceptor that he has been.

-Thanks to Fantistics Jasbir Singh for todays analysis. We'll see you back here tomorrow folks.

Contained within our player projections software is a notes column. Here is where I point out some statistical indicators that are relevant to our 2011 projections. This morning we'll take a look at some of the Running backs that will be part of your 2011 draft (In no particular order):

Foster,Arian The best back in the league. Averaged 20.6 PPG and an incredible .84 PPA. In other words every time he touched the ball he almost scored a fantasy point.
Best,Jahvid Played injured most of '10 with foot/toe injuries. Can be explosive but history of health issues and the high draft selection of LeShoure complicates things. He'll come cheaply with lots of upside.
Hardesty,Montario Has potential to be lead back, but Hillis has earned a share of the load. Not explosive, but steady production potential.
Mathews,Ryan Injuries marred his 2010 campaign, but ran well even when he wasn't at 100%. We like his 23.5% Red Zone success ratio and his .80 PPA in 2nd H was well above league average.
Spiller,C.J. Rushing numbers were not impressive (3.8 YPC), but his receiving numbers 24/157 were encouraging. His role should increase this season.
Starks,James Starks was solid for the Packers in the post season, which will elevate his potential to open the season
Blount,LeGarrette Averaged a very respectable 5.0 YPC, and a decent 17.9% Red Zone success rate. Because of his upright running style, he has the potential to hit a wall like Brandon Jacobs did a few years ago.
Ivory,Chris 5.2 YPC in '10. leads us to believe that he'll be sharing load with Ingram in '11. Solid .75 PPA...sleeper.
Jackson,Steven Overall production dropped considerably last season despite success in pass game. Consistently produces 190+ fantasy Points a season.
Turner,Michael Production fell off last season .63 PPA, 4.1 YPC. Consider he injured his groin early on and was never the same afterwards. Bounce back expected.
Benson,Cedric Production continues to make him a marginal starter. Only averaged 11.1 Fantasy points per start and 3.5 YPC. Additionally his Red Zone% of only 12.7 makes him a questionable red zone option.
Gore,Frank Production slipped as pass game was abysmal in '10. Expect both YPC (4.2) and Red Zone % to increase.
Jacobs,Brandon In '10, Points per Attempt rose to '08 levels (.92). Unlikely to exceed '10 production (5.6 YPC), but makes for a decent bye week filler.

7/30/2011

RB Michael Turner Fully Recovered Offseason Groin Surgery
Falcons running back Michael Turner, who has led the NFL in carries in two of the past three seasons, has recovered from offseason groin surgery.
“I was just rehabbing my groin stuff like that,” Turner said after the second practice Friday. “I was here after I had my surgery.” Turner, who was named to his second Pro Bowl, had 334 carries and rushed for 1,371 yards last season. In 2008, he had 376 carries and rushed for 1,699 yards.
Source: Atlanta Journal-Constitution

Turner is not getting a lot of love after struggling through injury for most of last season. As a 3rd Round ADP, his demise is greatly exaggerated.  Consider that as heralded as LeSean McCoy's 2010 campaign was, he only had 8 Quality Games, while Turner had 9...
 

WR Early Doucet Signs Restricted Tender, RB Tim Hightower Looking for Interest Elsewhere
Receiver Early Doucet and offensive tackle Brandon Keith, both restricted free agents, signed their tender offers and reported to camp. Running back Tim Hightower, however, is waiting to see if an offer comes from another team. Whisenhunt said he understood Hightower's decision. With a compressed period of free agency, Hightower apparently wanted some time to determine interest. He won't miss much in Flagstaff. As a free agent, he wouldn't be able to practice until Aug. 4.
Source: Arizona Republic

Doucet will battle Chansi Stuckey for the slot position. With the emergence of Stephen Williams, Doucet is out of the running toi start opposite Larry Fitzgerald.  We'd be surprised if Tim Hightower has received a bona fide offer from the Cards, especially no that rookie Ryan Williams is in the mix.

Falcons Bolster Pass Rush with DE Ray Edwards
Defensive end Ray Edwards agreed to terms on a five-year contract with the Atlanta Falcons on Friday. The original “Big Play Ray” is former defensive back Ray Buchanan, who played with the Falcons from 1997 to 2003, and was on the franchise’s only Super Bowl team. One of the team’s glaring deficiencies has been the pass rush. They are hoping that Edwards will help close the gap on the Green Bay Packers in the NFC. They hope he will balance the field and provide a pass rush opposite of Pro Bowl defensive end John Abraham.
Source: Atlanta Journal-Constitution

Although he's no longer a IDP stud (only 28 tackles last season) Edwards has recorded 8 sacks each of the last 2 seasons. Atlanta was a top 12 team defense last season, and played like a top 8 defense in the second half. This signing bolsters that trend.

WR Michael Jenkins, DL Jamaal Anderson Released By Falcons
The Falcons cleared $7.8 million under the salary cap by releasing veteran defensive lineman Jamaal Anderson and wide receiver Michael Jenkins on Friday. Anderson and Jenkins were both former first-round picks.
Source: Atlanta Journal-Constitution

Despite having a pro bowl receiver opposite him in Atlanta, offering him single coverage, Jenkins could only mustard 505 yards last season with a 56% reception %. This opens up the slot for uber rookie Julio Jones.


Ravens Rookie CB Jimmy Smith Already Impressing
What stood out from Jimmy Smith's first NFL practice is that it didn't look like it was the cornerback's first NFL practice. The Ravens' 2011 first-round pick jammed wide receivers at the line of scrimmage. He ripped a pass away over the middle. And he picked up the Ravens' defense in a few meetings.
Only hours after signing a four-year, $7.4 million contract (which includes a $3.9 million signing bonus), Smith showed no signs of being intimidated. In fact, he already seemed like he belonged.
Source: Baltimore Sun

The Baltimore Defense finished out of the top 10 last season for the first time in recent memory. Although Smith is a well needed addition, the missing ingredient last season was the lack of a pass rush.

Panthers Sign Rookie QB Cam Newton to Four-Year Deal
The Carolina Panthers have signed quarterback Cam Newton, the No. 1 overall pick in April's NFL draft, to a deal worth just over $22 million for four years, with all of the money guaranteed.
Source: Charlotte Observer

I was debating this with a friend yesterday. Do the Panthers throw Newton right into the fire, or take the traditional route. Consider this wasn't your typical preseason with rookie minicamps and OTAs...Newton is forcibly well behind the learning curve for a first year QB at this point. Claussen starts the first 2 games and bombs...Newton in by week 3...

RB Matt Forte Decides Against Holdout
Matt Forte wants a new contract. But he wasn’t going to be stupid about it.
Forte, who had 1,616 yards of total offense and nine touchdowns last season, considered a training-camp holdout to get the Bears to give him a new deal. But a promise from Bears general manager Jerry Angelo that ‘‘a deal would get done’’ helped convince him he’d be better off showing up.
‘‘I had to weigh my options,’’ Forte said Friday at training camp. ‘‘Anybody in that situation would think about what they have to do and evaluate the pros and cons of the situation.’’ The cons of holding out clearly outweighed the pros.
Source: Chicago Sun-Times

Forte's production increased significantly last season under Martz, and more of the same is expected this season. Last season Forte averaged an impressive 15.4 Fantasy points per Game in non PPR leagues.

Bears Sign WR Roy Williams, Devin Hester Potentially Losing Snaps
Devin Hester has lobbied for veteran wide receivers to come in before.
Now, one is finally here, as the Bears have signed Roy Williams, at one time one of the best playmakers in the NFC. Williams' arrival means a couple things. First, it ends the quest some have been on for a big wide receiver.
"Have we gotten those questions?" coach Lovie Smith said. "But that doesn't really matter an awful lot. We were looking for receivers that we thought could play. Roy brings quite a bit to it. He is big, he can block, but we think he can win the one-on-one battles. We could talk about him quite a bit. I think he's a great talent that it hasn't quite worked for him yet, but hopefully it will. I think we've had some success with some players that it didn't work out somewhere else, then they come here and finish up strong." Williams' arrival also means Hester could be looking at a redefined role, one with less playing time. Before the Bears made the addition, it looked like Earl Bennett could take some snaps from Hester.
Source: Chicago Tribune

I've never been a big Roy Williams fan, but I think that Williams instantly become the fav target in the Red Zone...especially now that Olsen has been shipped out of town. 600-700 yards w/ 6 TDs is well within reason. Also consider that Martz and Williams were a tandem in Detroit several years ago and Williams had a great year.

QB Peyton Manning Still Recovering From Offseason Neck Surgery
Coach Jim Caldwell will oversee an overall healthy group when the Indianapolis Colts report to Anderson University on Sunday for the start of training camp, with one notable exception. Quarterback Peyton Manning is expected to report, but won’t be ready to participate. “Obviously he’s not ready right now,’’ coach Jim Caldwell said today. “But there’s nobody that works any harder, nobody more diligent, more dedicated. He certainly has great faith in our staff that works with him here. “At some point in time, he’ll be ready to go and when that is we’ll turn him loose.’’ Manning underwent surgery May 23 to repair a bulging disc in his neck.
Source: Indianapolis Star

Manning had more pass attempts than his typical season (680), so we're expecting a down tick in his passing yards, but he's a bargain as a 4th round ADP indicates.

Jaguars Agree to Terms with Veteran Safety Dawan Landry
The Jaguars continued adding key players to their defense on Friday, agreeing to a five-year deal with former Baltimore safety Dawan Landry.
Source: Florida Times-Union

TE Tony Moeaki Lands on PUP List
Chiefs coach Todd Haley confirmed Friday, albeit accidentally, that second-year tight end Tony Moeaki would begin training camp on the physical unable to perform list. Haley also hinted that Moeaki might not be the only player added to the list -- although he said the moves were precautionary and that players' injuries weren't serious. "With Tony," Haley said, "much like what I'm talking about, there's nothing major with any of the players that you might see on that list." The coach said it had more to do with players returning from a long layoff than a sign of a serious injury.
Source: Kansas City Star

Despite his strong rookie season, Moeaki only registered a 4% Red Zone conversion rate. Still a very promising future ahead in fantasy circles.

Chiefs Ink First Round WR Jonathan Baldwin
The Chiefs signed their first-round pick on Friday, announcing the move in time for wide receiver Jonathan Baldwin to join the team for its first training-camp practice. Baldwin, the No. 26 overall pick, wore No. 89 during Friday’s practice, working with the backup offensive units. He signed a contract worth a maximum of $7.55 million. The deal included a signing bonus of $3.99 million, Baldwin’s agent, Rick Smith, told The Star. Under the league’s new collective-bargaining agreement, all rookie contracts are four-year deals with a team option for a fifth.
Source: Kansas City Star

Rare talent with size (6'4" - 225), speed, and leaping ability. Could become a star in the league, but needs to improve on his route running...which means that he's not likely to be starting out of the gate....especially now that Breaston is expected to start opposite Bowe.

Dolphins Sign LB Kevin Burnett, Cut Channing Crowder
The Dolphins have replaced Channing Crowder. The Miami Herald's Jeff Darlington is reporting the Dolphins have agreed to terms on a four-year contract with unrestricted free agent Kevin Burnett. Burnett, 28, was drafted in 2005 by the Dallas Cowboys. He spent the last two seasons with the Chargers, where he started all 16 games. The deal for Burnett is for four years. Other terms are not yet available.
Source: Miami Herald

Burnett was a top 25 LB in IDP leagues, primarily because of his 80 tackles from a year ago. The Dolphins defense just took another step forward, and could exceed it's 11 Quality Starts from a year ago.

Vikings Coach Confirms Donovan McNabb Will Start at QB
Christian Ponder might be the Vikings quarterback of the future, but if things go as planned for Leslie Frazier and Donovan McNabb this season, the future won't arrive anytime in 2011. Both made that clear during conference calls held Friday to announce the poorly kept secret that the Vikings had obtained the veteran quarterback from Washington for a sixth-round pick in 2012 and a conditional sixth-rounder in 2013. "We're signing [McNabb] hoping that he's going to be our starting quarterback barring some unforeseen circumstance," said Frazier, the Vikings' first-year coach, whose relationship with McNabb dates to their days together with the Eagles (1999-2002). "He looks great, he's everything I thought he would in our conversations, and I fully expect him to go out and lead our football team through this 2011 season."
Source: Minneapolis Star-Tribune

Viscanthe Shaincoe is primed for a comeback season. We're pumping up his projected TD totals this morning as McNabb likes a big tight end in the red zone.

Vikings Coach Expects Good Things from WR Bernard Berrian?
As the Vikings look to create salary cap space, wide receiver Bernard Berrian seems like a logical cap casualty because of his subpar 2010 campaign (28 catches, zero touchdowns) coupled with his $3.9 million salary and a cap hit of more than $6 million. Frazier said Berrian will have a "great year" and will help the Vikings stretch the field.
Source: St. Paul Pioneer-Press

Frazier is putting on a good face here, Berrian hasn't stretched the field since 2008. The last 2 seasons he's only averaged slightly more than 10 yards per reception, which a horrid 52% Completion ratio....McNabb's going to find a favorite receiver and his name will be Percy Harvin.

Saints Bring Back Safety Roman Harper on Five-Year Deal
The New Orleans Saints continued to check their top free agent priorities off the list Friday night, agreeing to a four-year, $28 million deal with safety Roman Harper, according to a league source. The deal included $16 million in guarantees.
Source: The Times-Picayune

Big addition for the Saints, from a fantasy perspective, our software ranks Harper as the 7 best DB in this year's draft.

DE Osi Umenyiora Yet To Report to Giants’ Camp
Osi Umenyiora and the Giants have been destined for a potentially long, ugly battle for a while now. And it just might be underway. The two-time Pro Bowl defensive end was a no-show for team physicals at the Timex Performance Center this morning, according to someone who spoke to Umenyiora. The person requested anonymity because Umenyiora's camp hasn't addressed the situation yet. At 1 p.m., there are team meetings, though ESPN is reporting Umenyiora is unlikely to show up for those.
Source: Newark Star-Ledger

DE Umenyiora is one of the key anchors in the Giants defense. His 13 sacks from a year ago were a career high.

Unsigned WR Steve Smith Likely Unavailable to Start Season
Steve Smith remains a free agent, but Reese said, “I understand Steve is getting healthier everyday and that’s all the comments I can really make about his health is that he is getting better.” Reese said that if Smith is brought back he could be placed on the physically unable to perform (PUP) list because it’s likely he won’t be ready for the start of the season.
Source: ESPN New York

As of today Steve Smith's projection of 950 yards and 5 TDs is highly dependant on his health and how'll be tossing him the rock this season. Downgrades coming.

Eagles Sign Top Free Agent Prize CB Nnamdi Asomugha
The Eagles are all in. In a stunning move Friday, the team agreed with cornerback Nnamdi Asomugha on a five-year, $60 million contract, landing the best free agent on the market and one of the top players in the NFL. With Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie added Thursday and four-time Pro Bowler Asante Samuel already on the roster, the Eagles boast the best collection of cornerback talent in the league.
Source: Philadelphia Inquirer

Wow, Andy Reid and crew wins the trophy for off season personnel moves...now if they can only advance into the playoff rounds ;) Seriously the Eagles current CB group will go a long way in  shortening the field for the middle linebackers...which will go a long way in cutting back the 4.4 YPC allowed in the 2nd half of 2010.

Rams Agree to Terms with WR Mike Sims-Walker
The St. Louis Rams have reached agreement with former Jacksonville Jaguars wide receiver Mike Sims-Walker on a one-year deal, a league source told ESPN NFL Insider Adam Schefter. Sims-Walker, who will turn 27 in November, had 43 catches for 562 yards and seven touchdowns last season with the Jaguars, a year after he produced 63 catches for 869 yards and seven scores.
Source: ESPN

This is a nice addition for Sam Bradford, who is a more accurate QB than Sims-Walker's former. This could be what Sims-Walker needs to get him to the next level.

Titans Want RB Chris Johnson In Camp Before Negotiating New Deal
Chris Johnson sat at his locker last August and couldn’t hide his disappointment. All offseason he had been vocal about his desire for a lucrative new contract, a wish that went unanswered. Yet he promised to keep a good attitude, and he did. Johnson made one thing clear, however: He wouldn’t be back for 2011 training camp without that new contract.
“It won’t happen again,” Johnson said. “This is the last time without me having a long-term deal.” There are indications he’s prepared to hold out as long as it takes to get that new contract. Titans General Manager Mike Reinfeldt said that strategy would not work. “We told Chris and his agent we are willing to sit down and talk about a contract, but he needs to get into camp before we are willing to do that,’’ Reinfeldt said. “That is kind of our position. He needs to be here with the rest of the Titans, getting ready to play games."
Source: Nashville Tennessean

Pay the man. I know that $800k is a lot of money for me and many of our readers, but if we scale this down to the typical US worker....if Johnson is making $40k this year, Matt Hasselbeck would be making $300k...the Titans need to right this inequity.

WR Kenny Britt Won’t Be Disciplined By Titans for Offseason Activity
Tennessee Titans Coach Mike Munchak says he doesn’t envision disciplining wide receiver Kenny Britt for his off-field troubles during the offseason, but the team is aware the league could see things differently. Munchak talked to Britt on Friday for the first time since the end of last season and tried to set the table for a fresh start between the new head coach and the third-year receiver. “I just talked about his importance to this team,” Munchak said. “I think I wanted him to know exactly how we felt about him, how much we rely on him — not just me, but his teammates. “I got a feel for what he’s going through. I’m looking forward to a fresh start, a new season, a new head coach, a new staff. We have big plans and he’s part of it.”
Source: Nashville Tennessean

Hopefully Britt will take this opportunity to right his ship and stay out of trouble....as this kid has a ton of talent.

John Beck Tops Redskins QB Depth Chart for Now
Coach Mike Shanahan will likely wait until the end of preseason to decide on the Washington Redskins’ starting quarterback. But during the team’s first practice of training camp Friday, it was clear that John Beck tops the current depth chart. “John’s done a good job in his first day of practice. I wouldn’t put him in the Pro Bowl yet,” Shanahan said, “but he’s close.”
Source: Washington Post

Knock down your expectations for Santana Moss, don't buy into last year's stats...as he's bound for a regression with Beck at the helm.

7/29/2011

Cardinals Complete Trade for QB Kevin Kolb, DB Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie to Eagles
Critics will rip the Cardinals for trading a talented cornerback and a second-round pick for Eagles quarterback Kevin Kolb. And the Cardinals will defend the move as necessary and forward-thinking. The reality is the Cardinals' record with Kolb will tell the unvarnished truth about the trade, which was completed Thursday. "And I'll be honest with you," coach Ken Whisenhunt said, "I'm comfortable with that." The Cardinals traded cornerback Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie and a second-round draft choice in 2012 for Kolb, who has started seven games in four NFL seasons.
Source: Arizona Republic

There is little argument that the Cards paid a king's ransom for Kolb. Not only did they give up a 2nd round pick, and a pro bowl corner...they also signed Kolb to a $60 Mil contract with 20+ guaranteed. Why not wait with the contract?!? He'll have a lot of pressure to perform, but the good news is that the Cards secondary will give up a lot of points this season (who's opposite CB Patrick Peterson now?)...which means that Kolb will get plenty of pass attempts to prove his worth. What to expect?...a ceiling in the realm of Jeff Garcia at his prime. Regardless Larry Fitzpatrick is obviously better off than he was last season.
 
Falcons Agree To Terms with First Round WR Julio Jones
In a flurry of deals the night before training camp opens, the Falcons signed all of their draft picks and retained one of their starting offensive linemen Thursday. Right tackle Tyson Clabo, first-round pick Julio Jones and fifth-round pick Jacquizz Rodgers came into fold late Thursday evening. Clabo, an unrestricted free agent, can not sign his contract until 6 p.m. Friday. Jones and Rodgers were able to sign their four-year deals and attend a team meeting.
Source: Atlanta Journal-Constitution

Julio Jones is going to take a lot of pressure off of Roddy White down the line...which isn't necessarily a good thing for us fantasy folks. Roddy White was targeted with a league high 179 passes last season, making good on 115. With Jones, on a crash course to learn the system, White should still be in the top 5 among receiver targets. The biggest change will be Matt Ryan moving up into the top 10 among QBs, as he'll have more options and a less congested view in front of him with Jones on the field.
 
Bills to Sign Versatile WR Brad Smith
New Buffalo Bills jack-of-all-trades Brad Smith is sure to keep the creative wheels in the head of coach Chan Gailey turning this season. Smith, who spent the past five years with the New York Jets, is part Wildcat quarterback, part running back, part receiver, part kick returner and part kick-coverage demon. He agreed to terms on a four-year deal with the Bills that will be worth $15 million, or $3.75 million a year. Smith said he's not focused on how much he will fit into any one role in Gailey's offense.
Source: Buffalo News

Smith will help the Bills offense become less predictable. From a fantasy perspective he does not much value for us.
 
Panthers Trade for TE Greg Olsen
The Panthers made a trade Thursday. But it wasn't the one many expected. Hours after Steve Smith backed off his trade demands and decided to stay in Charlotte, the Panthers traded for Chicago tight end Greg Olsen, according to the Chicago Tribune. The Tribune reported the Panthers will give up a player and draft pick to acquire Olsen, but did not identify the player other than it is not believed to be Smith.
Source: Charlotte Observer

As expected, Olsen was under utilized in the Martz run offense in Chicago. His 69 targeted passes ranked 18th among fellow TEs....which is disappointing to say the least considering he had 106 targets the year before. Look for Olsen to see about 80-90 targets in Carolina this season....which could make him a top half TE again.

WR Steve Smith No Longer Wants Out of Carolina
The offseason chips seem to be falling in place for a Carolina Panthers team that suffered through an abysmal 2-14 finish in 2010.After locking up four of their core players during the first two days of free agency, the Panthers apparently will be keeping their top receiver. Pro Bowl wideout Steve Smith told ESPN's Adam Schefter today that he had met with Panthers general manager Marty Hurney and coach Ron Rivera and told them he plans to remain with the team this season – and perhaps longer. "For me, I'm always going to be a Panther," Smith told Schefter. "They took a shot on me when I was coming from nowhere and now I'm going into my 11th year in the league. This will be where I retire, whether that's five years from now or one year from now."
Source: Charlotte Observer

Smith saw a 24% reduction in targeted passes last season, and he went from 1,417 receiving yards in 2008 to 979 yards in 2009, to 554 yards in 2010. His reception ratio has dropped from 60% to 34% in the 2nd half of last season. Clearly Clausen could not connect with Smith last season. Does Cam Newton start from day 1? He'll need him to, if Smith is to even sniff 900 yards this season.

RB Matt Forte Wants New Deal, Threatening Holdout
Bears running back Matt Forte told the Tribune last week that holding out never helps anyone involved. But he didn't rule out making such a move to nudge the Bears for an extension. Forte now is strongly considering boycotting training camp when the Bears are to report Friday in Bourbonnais, according to a league source. Forte said last week he wanted to secure a contract extension before camp, but the timing for that was disrupted with the flurry of free-agent signings and transactions after the NFL lockout. He is due a base salary of $550,000 in the final year of his rookie contract, and he isn't even the highest-paid running back on the team. Backup Chester Taylor is set to make $1.25 million this season.
Source: Chicago Tribune

Forte bounced back last year and finished as the tenth best RB in football. most notably was the increase in his YPC (4.5 from 3.6) and the increase to TDs (from 4 to 9). Forte is a solid early second round selection in the 2011 draft.
 
Bengals and First Rounder WR A.J. Green Agree to Deal
On the day the Chad Ochocinco era ended, A.J. Green said he wouldn't let the pressure of trying to become the Bengals new top receiver affect him. Green agreed to terms on a four-year deal worth $19.6 million on Thursday. He becomes the team's first opening-round draft choice to report to camp on time since 2006. "I've dealt with pressure. I've had pressure my whole life," Green said. "Being a big-time recruit coming out and being that guy at Georgia, it's no different. I don't let the outside world affect me (on) the field."
Source: Cincinnati Enquirer

Green is widely regarded as the most talented and gifted WR coming out of the 2011 Draft Class. With OchoCinco out of town, Green is assured playing time out of the gate. Jerome Simpson showed signs of brilliance last season, but if your looking for a gem sleeper, look no further than Jordan Shipley who was targeted with 74 passes and made good on 70% of those. He's a poor man's Wes Welker, and I wouldn't be surprised if he exceeds 70 receptions this season.
 
Browns Sign RB Brandon Jackson, Re-Sign Veteran Kicker Phil Dawson
The Browns joined the frenzied pace of player transactions Thursday when they reached agreements with several players, including two rookie draft choices and their first unrestricted free agents. They also were expecting to formally sign franchise kicker Phil Dawson and restricted free-agent tight end Evan Moore today, so they will report to the opening of coach Pat Shurmur's first Browns training camp. Agreeing to contracts were defensive end Jabaal Sheard and wide receiver Greg Little, who were second-round picks. The Browns also reached free-agent deals with players from the past two Super Bowl champions -- free safety Usama Young of New Orleans and running back Brandon Jackson of Green Bay.
Source: Cleveland Plain Dealer

Jackson's value drops to nil now that he's behind Hillis and Hardesty.
 
 
QB Kyle Orton Expects to Start for Broncos in 2011
Tim Tebow, Kyle Orton and Brady Quinn all took the field at Dove Valley for the Broncos' first official practice of 2011 training camp this morning. Quinn was the first player on the field, but it was Orton who took snaps with the first-team offense. And it was Orton who looked like the more polished, veteran quarterback. The Broncos and Miami Dolphins have been engaged in talks about a trade for Orton, but no deal has been stuck. After practice, Orton talked like a man who thinks that he, not Tebow, will be the Broncos' starting quarterback. Asked if he expected to be the starter, Orton said: "100 percent." Asked if he wanted to be at Dove Valley, Orton said: "100 percent" During the first drills of camp, Orton looked polished, while Tebow looked much rougher. Orton said he was just happy to be practicing again.
Source: Denver Post

How do the Broncos go back to Orton after pulling the plug on him last season? The big surprise here is the lack of a market for Orton. In 13 games last season, Orton threw for 3652 yards, with 20 TDs and only 9 INTs...I don't get it. The guy is a better than average NFL QB....and for teams such as the Dolphins or Redskins to be balking on a reportedly 4th round draft selection...
 
Lions Agree To Deals with Draft Picks DT Nick Fairley, RB Mikel Leshoure
Nick Fairley, the Detroit Lions' first-round draft pick, signed a four-year deal with the team tonight. Rookie running back Mikel Leshoure, a second-round draft pick, signed his contract Thursday and will be on the field for the team's first training camp workout on Friday.
Source: MLive.com

The lions had a surprisingly 12th ranked fantasy defense last season.
 
Texans Improve Secondary with DBs Jonathan Joseph, Danieal Manning
A few hours after cornerback Johnathan Joseph agreed to a five-year contract worth $48.75 million, including $23.5 million guaranteed and a $12.5 million signing bonus, the Texans reached an agreement with safety Danieal Manning on Thursday night. Manning gets $20 million over four years, including $9 million guaranteed and $11.5 million over the first two years. The Texans entered free agency with desperate needs at cornerback and safety. Joseph, 27, played his first five years in Cincinnati. Manning, 28, played his first five years in Chicago.
Source: Houston Chronicle

The Texans had the bottom ranked fantasy defense last season, so it's only up from here.
   
Outspoken WR Chad Ochocinco Gets His Wish, Dealt to Patriots
The New England locker room will be a lot more interesting starting tomorrow - the team has acquired veteran receiver Chad Ochocinco from Cincinnati. The Patriots are shipping a late-round pick in both 2012 and 2013 to Cincinnati in the deal. New England asked for and received permission to talk to Ochocinco and agent Drew Rosenhaus from the Bengals on Tuesday. The final three years of his contract have reportedly been re-worked.
Source: Boston Globe

Ochocinco has lost a step, and doesn't run exact routes....both to his detriment. However he'll have one of the most accurate QBs tossing him the rock this season. A QB that has resurrected the careers of many aging WRs. This last sentence bears repeating.  A 1,000 yards receiving season with 7-8 TDs are well within his potential with Brady at the helm.
 
Patriots Complete Trade for DL Albert Haynesworth
The Patriots have acquired talented and troubled defensive tackle Albert Haynesworth, according to ESPN.com’s Adam Schefter. The 6-foot-6, 335-pounder comes over for a fifth round pick in 2013... which is essentially nothing for a two-time Pro Bowler. In other words, a bombshell. A player who had 51 tackles in and 8.5 sacks in 2008 will likely fit in as a third-down inside rusher when he arrives, with the possibility that his role expands.
Source: Boston Herald

New England had a number 3 Fantasy Defense last season, and Haynesworth is a flier well worth a shot....If Haynesworth comes to play, the Pats defense just got better.
 
Saints Add Darren Sproles to RB Stable
The New Orleans Saints didn't waste time replacing departed tailback Reggie Bush. They agreed to a four-year deal with free agent tailback Darren Sproles worth $14 million with $6 million guaranteed. A league source confirmed the deal, which was originally reported by FOXSports.com's Alex Marvez. "The skill set that Reggie had was certainly unique. Darren may have a comparable skill set. That would be a pretty good comparison," Saints Coach Sean Payton said earlier Thursday before the deal was finalized -- though he insisted the team wasn't looking for a Plan B when it began pursuing Sproles. "I think (Sproles) is an exceptional talent. He is very versatile and dynamic."
Source: The Times-Picayune

Sproles is going to see an uptick in his fantasy value, as he was underutilized last season. Consider he averaged 5.3 YPC, yet only had 50 carries, down from 93 the season before. He'll likely fit in in 3rd down situations and will be their punt/kickoff returner.
 
Eagles Agree to Terms with QB Vince Young
On the same day the Eagles traded away their backup quarterback they apparently found his replacement. Vince Young has agreed to a one-year deal with the Eagles, according to Albert Breer of NFL Network. Young hasn't technically cleared waivers so he can't sign a contract until tomorrow after 4 p.m. But the deal appears to be all but done.
Source: Philadelphia Inquirer

A decent insurance policy for Michael Vick. Young has shown potential to keep his team in the game...but clearly is not a pocket passer.
 
WR Hines Ward to Begin Season on PUP List
Starters Hines Ward and Chris Kemoeatu will open training camp with the Steelers on the sideline, placed on the physically unable to perform list until they overcome their injuries. Ward had surgery on a thumb that has not sufficiently healed and Kemoeatu has swelling in a knee.
Source: Pittsburgh Post-Gazette

Ward should be fine when the season opens, but his numbers are on the decline with the emergence of Mike Wallace.
 
Confident TE Antonio Gates to Miss a Week of Camp with Foot Injury
Antonio Gates is 31 years old and still fighting through the most painful yet of a series of foot injuries. He did not practice on the first day of training camp and probably won’t for another week. In his pocket, though, he carries experience. Thus, the path ahead, he believes, leads directly into his prime. “I have a whole bowl full of perspective, and I’m stirring it up into being the best Antonio Gates,” he said. “I think the best three or four years of my career are ahead of me.”
Source: San Diego Union-Tribune

Injuries last season limited Gates to only 65 targets in 2010 (down from 114 in 2009), yet he still managed to be the 3rd most productive TE. Even if he's 80%, Gates is still the best TE in the game.
 
49ers Kicker Joe Nedney Retires, David Akers Signed as Replacement
Joe Nedney, the most accurate kicker in 49ers history, is expected to announce his retirement from the NFL after 15 NFL seasons, the San Jose Mercury News reported. Nedney, 38, a native of San Jose who attended San Jose State, played for eight different teams in his career. He finally found stability with the 49ers. He played his last six seasons with the 49ers. He was named co-winner of the Bill Walsh Award in 2005, along with linebacker Derek Smith, as the team MVP. But Nedney was plagued by injuries the past two years, finishing up on injured reserve both seasons. The 49ers on Thursday reached a three-year contract agreement with five-time Pro Bowl kicker David Akers to handle the 49ers' kicking duties.
Source: CSN Bay Area

David Akers value drops with this move. It was widely expected that the Eagles were not going to sign Akers after drafting a kicker in this year's draft, however Akers will not see the same amount of opportunities in SF. COnsider that he's averaged 37 attempts the last few years in Philadelphia and the 49ers kickers have only averaged 31 over that span. Still a top 10, but no longer a top 3.
 
WR Michael Crabtree Lands on PUP List, May Miss 4-6 Weeks
The foot injury that kept Michael Crabtree out of player-run practices in June is more serious than previously believed, and the 49ers' top wide receiver will miss as many as six weeks of training camp and the preseason, according to a source with knowledge of the injury. That's why the 49ers were in the running this week for veteran wide receiver Chad Ochocinco, who instead was traded Thursday from Cincinnati to New England. The 49ers will continue to pursue a veteran receiver on the free-agent market who could start opposite Josh Morgan when the season begins.
Source: Sacramento Bee

Crabtree has been quite the disappointment since coming into the league as a prized prospect...looks like another disappointing season ahead.
 
That's all for today folks, see you here tomorrow. - Anthony

 

7/27/2011

The Panthers have resigned RB DeAngelo Williams. Williams was injured for much of 2010, and when he did play he was shutdown because of the stacking of the line by opposing defenses. With possibly another rookie QB (Newton) at the helm again this season, and with a share of the starting duty (Jonathan Stewart) expect more of the same frustrations as a Williams owner in 2011. The Panther released K John Kasay yesterday. Although Kasay finished 23rd among his fellow kickers last season, he made 86% of of attempts and kicked 11 FGs beyond 40 yards. We'd be surprised if Kasay doesn't latch on to another team. The Bengals signed QB Bruce Gradkowski, who immediately steps into the starting role and will serve as a mentor for Andy Dalton. Gradkowski will inherit some very good skill players on offense...but we're still disappointed at the pairing that has gone on this week. McNabb goes to Minnesota who is now without stud receiver Sidney Rice, and Sidney Rice goes to Seattle with his old lackluster counterpart Tarvaris Jackson. Rice would have been a tier 1 WR had he stayed with McNabb, now we're looking at Rice hovering as a top 30 fantasy WR.  In Cleveland the news is that Montario Hardesty is fully healed and ready to compete for carries with Peyton Hillis. As we noted last season, Hardesty possesses prototypical NFL Size, speed, and strength. He certainly possesses the physical tools to be a successful back in the NFL but there are question marks surrounding whether the productivity and durability will follow. He has the chance to be a solid lead back as he’s shown all around tools in both the running and passing game, but his career 4.3 YPC and 4.7 YPT (yards/touch) at the collegiate level brings some question marks. With the pending release of Marion Barber, Tashard Choice is expected to see more carries early on. Choice ran for an underwhelming 3.7 yards per carry last season, but has good hands out of the backfield and is likely to compliment Felix Jones on 3rd down possessions. Felix Jones stock obviously moves up with the release of Barber and can now be considered a legit 5th round selection. WR Jabar Gaffney was traded to the Redskins yesterday, but with John Beck or Rex Grossman at the helm, Gaffney's stock is on the decline. While the Cardinals are about to overpay for Kevin Kolb, strong armed Kyle Orton is going to be traded for a song. The latest has the Dolphins ready to re-unite Orton with WR Brandon Marshall....which would pump up Marshall's value. If the Dolphins can pull off the RB Reggie Bush deal, they will have transformed their offense, and he'll likely see more carries than he has in recent seasons...WR Jacoby Jones has resigned with the Texans, while the Colts inked Adam Vinatieri. WR Steve Breaston has signed with the Chiefs, a move that bumps Breaston's value up at least 1 round. We believe that Breaston could approach 1,000 yards again coming out of the slot with Matt Cassel as his QB...also consider that Todd Haley was his offensive coordinator when Breaston caught 77 passes in 2008. The Ravens TE Ed Dickson's stock is on the rise with the pending release of Todd Heap. There's a chance that Heap will resign, if he doesn't Dickson has the physical attributes to become a top 12 fantasy TE. Expected contract holdouts include RB Frank Gore, WR DeSean Jackson, and RB Chris Johnson. If the Titans are going to pay Matt Hasselbeck 21 million over the next 3 years, they can't expect Johnson to be happy with his current deal which pays him 2 million over the next 2 years. I'm typically not a fan of players who hold out...but the Titans need to make this situation right.

Quality Games, a model of consistency

As many fantasy owners are aware, your place within the final league standings is reliant on your players consistency. One of the features of our Fantasy Projections Software (screenshots) is the ability to see which players have been consistent in the past. Since most leagues play in a head to head format, seeing player totals are often misleading. Some players accumulate a bulk of their totals in a small portion of their games, which can be very detrimental for many fantasy league owners.

At Fantistics we use an index called Quality Starts (or Quality Games). A player is credited with a Quality Start when he matches or exceeds the average output for a starter at his said position. In fantasy, championships are all about consistency.

On draft day I typically try to stock my roster (early on) with consistent players, players who historically have exceeded the average player production (at his position) week after week. 

Fantistics Subscribers have access to viewing the consistency (or inconsistency) of all players for the years 2002-2010 through our online databases, and our projections software also includes the consistency during the second half of 2010.

Below is a list of Quarter Backs who have shown weekly consistency:

Aaron Rodgers - 12 Quality Games in '10, 14 Quality Games in '09, 13 Quality Games in '08

Drew Brees - 14 Quality Games in '10, 13 Quality Games in '09, 12 in '08, 11 in '07

Tom Brady – 13 Quality Games in '10, 11 Quality Games in '09, 15  in '07, 13 in '06, 8 in final 8 games of '10

Phillip Rivers - 13 Quality Games in '10, 12 Quality Games in '09, 12 Quality Games in '08

Peyton Manning – 12 Quality Games in '10, 13 Quality Games in '09 (13 in '07/15 in '06)

Matt Schaub -  11 Quality Games in '10, 12 Quality Games in '09, 8 in final 8 games of '10

Michael Vick -  11 of 13 Quality Games in '10, 6 Quality Games in final 7 games

Josh Freeman -  11 Quality Games in '10

Eli Manning -  11 Quality Games in '10

Joe Flacco -  11 Quality Games in '10

Consistent QBs - Second Half of 2010

Jay Cutler - 5 Quality Games in final 8 games

David Garrard - 5 Quality Games in final 7 games (10 overall)

Carson Palmer (Retired?) - 5 Quality Games in final 8 games (10 overall)

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