Judging by the survey results sent at the conclusion of the 2006 season, a vast majority of our subscribers enjoyed another highly competitive season! Results are the bottom line and many of our subscribers reaped the rewards of these results from Fantistics in 2006.  In total 83% of the respondents placed in the top 3 within their league!

While other fantasy services may be boasting of the number of fantasy "experts" on staff.....that doesn't necessarily translate to success. What this really means is their consensus projections will mirror what the rest of the fantasy community thinks.... which in a sense means that the final results will be "average".

At Fantistics there is only one statistician who produces the draft day projections (Anthony A. Perri), maintaining the forecasting though-out the preseason on a daily basis, and most importantly standing by the results at season's end. Now in our 9th season serving knowledgeable fantasy enthusiasts,  we continue to produce a product that is distinguishable from the rest of the field. This is not to say that we don't also have a great supporting cast, but the principles that constitute the forecasting model and the drafting model (VAM) are unabated. Using time and again tested formulas of forecasting athletic performance, we continue to produce some of the most compelling results in the sports community...at least results that anyone is willing to publish.

One of the ways we measure success is comparing what direction a player's performance took during the forecasting season. We could sit here and tell you that we predicted exactly how many TDs Jeremy Shockey would register in 2006 (7), but in essence projecting any exact number is pure luck. On the other hand, predicting that Jeremy Shockey's production would diminish in 2006 verses their prior season....was not. Sure we considered age, supporting cast, career indicators, the system, and durability factors...but the key element that lead us to his downward projection was the difficulty that Shockey had the prior season in scoring TDs on their Red Zone possessions. Looking in from last preseason, our analysis indicated that Shockey's Red Zone production has been dropping, which is resulting in less red zone opportunities ...and true to expectation, he did struggle in 2006.

2006: Preseason Projections vs Year End Results*

Quarterbacks: 29 out of the top 35 = 80% correct

Running Backs:42 out of top 50 = 84% correct

Wide Receivers: 46 out of top 60 = 77% correct

Tight Ends: 21 out of top 30 = 70% correct

Place Kickers: 24 out of the top 30 = 80% correct

*Based on predicting whether or not a player would have a better or worse fantasy season. For a detailed listing of each player and position, click here - 2006 / 2005 /2004 / 2003 / 2002 Forecasting Results.

Another way we measure success is by comparing how we did against other web services or magazines dedicated to Fantasy Football. This year we received an inquiry asking to see us compared to another leading fantasy football service called footballguys.com. Below is a comparison of the top 70 players (using ADP heading into the 2006 season) with our projected Rankings (dated 9/05/06) verses Footballguys.com's projections (dated 9/04/06) verses the aggregate ranking from several fantasy football magazines.

2006: Preseason Projections vs Competition