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As Football
Fanatics, we take the "fantasy experience" very seriously here at
Fantistics. Our publisher is a Statistician who has be
computing fantasy projections and valuation models for over
18 years. Did you realize that the vast majority of National
Contest winners, are actuaries or accountants? Yes, the guys
with the glasses and pen sleeves in their shirts!...incidentally
quite a few of them are returning Fantistics subscribers.
Fantasy Football
(along with the other fantasy sports) is a statistical exercise.
He
who solves the "best fit" formula on draft day usually
takes the prize, or is at least competitive throughout the season....and that's our goal, to make you competitive
or give you that extra edge that brings you over the top, year
after year.
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Our 50+ years of
player data allows us to not only produce respectable
projections year in and year out, but it also allows you to dispel
certain myths that have led many fantasy managers astray. In
fantasy Sports it's not the quantity of information, it's the
quality that counts.
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Sure, our
projections will help you, but its Not necessarily who to draft...it's
how to draft. The section below introduces you
to the Fantistics Draft Strategy:
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The Fantistics draft
day strategy has been described as the definitive concept
to winning on draft day. Value Above Mean (VAM) is a computation that measures a players' fantasy worth versus others at
their respective position/s. In other words, what we do is take the average fantasy values
for the typical number of fantasy starters at each position. This average serves as the
standard that we compare all others at that particular position by.
To further the effectiveness of this concept, based on our
research, we assign probabilities based on the predictability of
the position categories. In a perfect world, we
compared this strategy against "simulation owners" who were set to draft
according to total fantasy points (TFP), and found VAM to be 22-30%
more effective tool than just drafting by total projected points. VAM is
most effective during the early rounds of the draft as evidenced by the graph below.
(We ran over 1,000 simulations, basing the incremental gain on the VAM strategy versus
employing a straight points drafting methodology through each draft pick.)
Starting in 2008, you can
test the VAM draft strategy before your draft. Our latest
software allows you to run simulation drafts using the VAM
Strategy against virtual opponents using a ADP to make selections.
For the first time, subscribers can see how much more effective
our draft strategy is over typical drafting methods.
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Fantistics
is credited as being the first group to apply the value based concept
(our concept of
VAM) to fantasy sports
drafting.
After years of using
the concept, in 1998 we finally tested the concept
using a statistical software package (MATLAB),
and found it to be the best overall drafting and trading strategy. We have successfully used and recommended this
statistical concept (VAM) for over nine years to over 20,000
fantasy enthusiasts.
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The 2008 Player Projections Program - Unrivaled Intelligence for
your Draft Day

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See the details of the Player
Projections Software
See the
2007 Customer Comments
See the
2006 Customer Comments
See the
2005 Customer Comments
See the
2004 Customer Comments
Join today! |
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Please feel free to inquire about any of our
products: info@fantistics.com |
Anthony
A. Perri is the founder and the resident "Stats
Nerd" at Fantistics. Anthony has a graduate level Math
education. His experience
includes working as a Quantitative Analyst for several
Wall Street firms developing statistical models before
venturing out into Fantasy Sports in the late 1990s. His decade long involvement
in Fantasy Sports includes accolades from some of the top
publications in the country as well as continual guest appearances
on Sports Radio (most recently ESPN and Sirius Radio.) Anthony is the designer of the
Fantistics Projections Model & the VAM drafting strategy
models.

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