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As Football
Fanatics, we take the "fantasy experience" very seriously here at
Fantistics. Our publisher is a Statistician who has be
computing fantasy projections and valuation models for over
15 years. Did you realize that the vast majority of National
Contest winners, are actuaries or accountants? Yes, the guys
with the glasses and pen sleeves in their shirts!...incidentally
quite a few of them are returning Fantistics subscribers.
Fantasy Football
(along with the other fantasy sports) is a numbers
(statistics) exercise.
He
who solves the "best fit" formula on draft day usually
takes the prize, or is at least competitive throughout the season....and that's our goal, to make you competitive or give you
that extra edge that brings you over the top, year after year. |
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Our 50+ years of
player data allows us to not only produce respectable
projections year in and year out, but it also allows you to dispel
certain myths that have led many fantasy managers astray. In
fantasy Sports it's not the quantity of information, it's the
quality that counts.
Did you realize
that last season, only 45% of the Top Thirty Wide Receivers were within
30% of their previous season fantasy stats? ...and contrary to
popular belief, 80% of the top 10 kickers are within 30% of their previous
season stats. |
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Sure, our
projections will help you, but its Not necessarily who to draft...it's
how to draft. The section below introduces you
to the Fantistics Draft Strategy:
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The Fantistics draft
day strategy has been described as the definitive concept
to winning on draft day. Value Above Mean (VAM) is a computation that measures a players' fantasy worth versus others at
their respective position/s. In other words, what we do is take the average fantasy values
for the typical number of fantasy starters at each position. This average serves as the
standard that we compare all others at that particular position by.
To further the effectiveness of this concept, based on our
research, we assign probabilities based on the predictability of
the position categories. In a perfect world, we
compared this strategy against "simulation owners" who were set to draft
according to total fantasy points (TFP), and found VAM to be 22-30%
more effective tool than just drafting by total projected points. VAM is
most effective during the early rounds of the draft as evidenced by the graph below.
(We ran over 1,000 simulations, basing the incremental gain on the VAM strategy versus
employing a straight points drafting methodology through each draft pick.) |
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After years of using
the concept, in 1998 we finally tested the concept
using a statistical software package (MATLAB),
and found it to be the best overall drafting and trading strategy. We have successfully used and recommended this
statistical concept (VAM) for over eight years to over 20,000
fantasy enthusiasts.
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Fantistics
is credited as being the first group to apply the value based concept
(our concept of
VAM) to fantasy sports
drafting. |
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The end result is
what we and our loyal subscriber base consider to be the best
fantasy football package on the net. A 2 minute download to
your PC and within seconds your printing off a ranking sheet that
reflects both your league scoring and utilizes our successful
projections and drafting model. |
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* Full
Stat Projections and rankings on over 800 NFL players & teams
for 2007.
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* Includes
the same drafting formula (VAM) that has been proven to produce
the best draft day scenario.
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Produces Printable
"Cheat sheets" tailored to your league scoring.
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Any of the projections can be changed
and saved, in essence you can alter our projections and make your
own. |
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Contains Advanced Player Stats,
including key Historical Indicators.
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* Easy
to Download, set up, and "one click" daily updates.
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Click here for an overview
of the 2007 Fantasy Intelligence Package
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Anthony
A. Perri is the founder and the resident "Stats
Nerd" here at Fantistics. Anthony has a graduate level
math education. His decade long involvement
in Fantasy Sports includes accolades from some of the top
publications in the country as a leading Sports Statistician. Anthony is the designer of the
Fantistics Projections Model & the VAM drafting strategy
models.
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